Click here for 2-page quick description of decision event

Contents

I. Description of  decision event goals

II. General description of decision event format and conceptual approach

III. Links to key project documents

IV. Draft schedule

V. List of scheduled participants (with links to online bios)

VI. Web sites you may want to check out before coming

VII. Administrative details (including printable form for faxed registration of those having USG pay for travel)

VIII. Short bios of scheduled participants and NWC personnel

I. Decision Event Goals

• Generate a downstream "decent world" profile delineating how the world--in concert with Asia--develops workable environmental regimes to deal with the region's rapid economic development and the resulting environmental stress
  
  

• Explore the key scenario variables (e.g., energy, direct investment) and dynamics (e.g., resource competition, political conflicts) likely to emerge in Asia's environmental future
  
  

• Determine which scenarios of political-military instability present the greatest potential to derail Asia's future environmental solutions
  
  

• Construct realistic downstream scenarios (covering the next 10-20 years) capturing Asia's movement toward, or away from, a shared environmental rule set with the rest of the world's leading economies.

These goals will not so much be explicitly addressed in this workshop as explored from a variety of analytic angles through the use of the GroupSystems decision-support software package and the discussions that accompany its use throughout the day.  The brief and report that result from this workshop will explicitly address these goals in a point-by-point fashion.

II. Decision Event Format

• The one-day workshop (Monday, 4 June) will focus on environmental solutions (local, regional, global) to Asia's enormous economic and demographic development over the next two decades, with a special focus on energy and related pollution.
  
  

• Approximately three dozen participants drawn equally from the financial, political-military, subject matter, and regional expert communities will attend the "decision event"
  
  

• The "decision event" will involve both facilitated discussion by the group as a whole and individual participation in collective brainstorming/voting tasks employing a decision software system known as GroupSystems (with each participant entering data anonymously via a dedicated laptop and all participants interacting synchronously with one another's inputted ideas via a portable Local Area Network); overall we anticipate about 4 hours of group discussions and 3 hours of group brainstorming via laptops
  
  

• No papers are to be presented or distributed, and no preparation is required beyond perusing this read-ahead package, which will be finalized about a week before the event
  
  

• There will be eight working sessions.  Each session will proceed (roughly) as follows:

  • Short stage-setting briefing

  • GroupSystems brainstorming/voting activity

  • Facilitated discussion

III. Links to Key Project Documents

• Asian Energy Futures Event Report

• Foreign Direct Investment Event Report

• NRS Project Summary Brief

IV. Decision Event Schedule

MONDAY, 4JUN01
Windows on the World, Floor 106, World Trade Center One

0730
Check in and continental breakfast
Please present yourself at the Windows on the World reception desk in the lobby of the World Trade Center One tower.  Identify yourself as a participant of the "Cantor Fitzgerald/eSpeed conference" in Ballroom B on Floor 106.  Then take the special elevator designated for Windows on the World.

0800   
Introduction brief and welcoming comments
--Dr. Thomas Barnett, Director, NewRuleSets.Project
--VAdm. Arthur Cebrowski, President, U.S. Naval War College
--Adm. William Flanagan (ret.), Senior Managing Director, Cantor Fitzgerald

0815   
Orientation brief 
--Dr. Thomas Barnett, Director, NewRuleSets.Project
Dr. Barnett will present a quick overview of the NewRuleSets.Project.

0845
Introduction to GroupSystems: "Who's Cool on Global Warming?"
--Prof. Bradd Hayes
You will be asked to participate in a short voting exercise designed to familiarize you with the some of the basic tasks we'll ask you to perform within GroupSystems throughout the rest of the day.  Here, we will present you with the five main contrarian positions concerning the global warming debate and ask how much you agree or disagree with these criticisms, using a sliding scale of 1 to 5 (strongly disagree, disagree, undecided, agree, and strongly agree)

0900 Session I  
Exploring the consequences of Asian development:  "CO2day, CO2morrow"
You will be asked to make a series of votes that will determine how many Million Metric Tons of Carbon Equivalent (MMTC) will be produced by Developing Asia in the year 2020.  Two voting tracks will be pursued: a "vertical scenario" that takes us directly to the year 2020 and focuses on total energy consumption and how that energy is produced (coal vs. oil vs. methane); and a "horizontal scenario" that takes us to the year 2020 in a step-by-step fashion using the Kaya Identity formula that calculates CO2 emissions in terms of average annual percentage growth.  These two voting tracks will be compared to Department of Energy projections (reference case, high-growth and low-growth).  Discussion will occur between votes

1000   
Coffee break

1015 Session II  
Challenge of Asian development:  Playing "Survivor in Asia: Output, Outgrow, Outwear"
You will be presented with 7 major threats to ecosystem viability in Asia and 6 policy challenges.  After rank-ordering the policy criteria, we will discuss each one in order of "least important" to "most important," and after each discussion, you will be forced to "vote off" one of the ecological threats as being the least desired "survivor" in Asia's inevitable march toward future economic development (meaning it's the cost you are willing to pay--in order--as Asia develops).  At the end of the session, you will be asked to distribute 7 countries/groupings according to which major threat you believe that country/grouping is most vulnerable. 

1200   
Lunch

1300 Session III   
Environmental pain thresholds: "Headlines from the Future"
You will be presented with a broad, stressing environmental scenario for Asia as a whole and asked to brainstorm likely headlines from the 2010-2020 timeframe, arraying them across a "crisis timeline sequence"; then we'll discuss the scenario as a group

1340 Session IV
Tipping points:  "Our Environment in Jeopardy!"
You will be presented with three environmental issues and asked to "price" them by determining how various "answers" to key policy questions would be arrayed--or valued--on a Jeopardy game board (e.g., the $200 answer through the $1000 answer); then we'll discuss the responses as a group 

1420 Session V
Breaking points: "Emails to the Commanders-in-Chief"
You will be presented with a distinct crisis scenario involving environmental stress triggers and asked to write private advisory emails to the national security advisors of presidents/premiers/prime ministers from the involved great powers, telling them why they should consider this crisis a national security issue; then we'll discuss the scenario as a group

1500   
Coffee break

1515 Session VI
Back to the future: "and the 2010 Nobel Environmental Prize goes to . . ."
You will be presented with a sequential brainstorming activity in which you detail how Individual (or Group) X of Country Y was recognized for his/her/their Achievement Z in successfully bringing the global community together over the issue of global warming in the first decade of the 21st century

1600 Session VII  
Long-term outcome scenarios:  "Naming Names"
You will be presented with an x-y axis that outlines four possible outcome scenarios for Asian environmental solutions circa 2020 and asked to nominate scenario titles for each.  Following a brief discussion, you will vote for your favorites

1630 Session VIII  
Thirty-seconds with a key decision maker:  "The Elevator Pitch"
While participants vote for their favorite scenario names from the previous session, each will be given the opportunity for a final, brief comment in response to a scenario (i.e., you are confronted with the rare opportunity to tell a key decision maker exactly what you think he or she needs to remember about the environment)

1700   
Adjourn; followed immediately by a cocktail hour

V. Workshop Participants

The table below lists participants who have indicated they will attend.  Short bios for some appear directly below on this page.  More complete bios are accessed via the provided links within the table.

VI. Useful Background Links

Subject Matter

• Dept. of Energy's Energy Information Administration Home Page: www.eia.doe.gov/

• Dept. of State's Regions/Country Information Page: www.state.gov/www/regions.html

• Dept. of Commerce's International Trade Administration Page: www.ita.doc.gov/

• Asian Development Bank's Home Page: www.adb.org/

• CO2e.com: http://www.co2e.com/

• Environmental Defense: http://www.environmentaldefense.org/

• EPA's recommended sites on global warming: www.epa.gov/ebtpages/airairpoglobalwarming.html

Hosts

• U.S. Naval War College (NWC): http://www.nwc.navy.mil/

• NWC's Center for Naval Warfare Studies: www.nwc.navy.mil/cnws/

• NWC's Decision Strategies Department: www.nwc.navy.mil/dsd/

• Cantor Fitzgerald: www.cantor.com/

• eSpeed: www.espeed.com/

If you could suggest other good sites, please contact Tom Barnett with the URLs.

VII. Administrative Details

• For administrative questions regarding the project or this decision event, please contact Ms. Lynda Miller (phone: 401.841.1798; fax: 401.841.1901).  If for any reason she cannot be reached in a timely fashion, please contact Project Director Thomas Barnett (phone: 202.841.4053; fax: same).

• Click here to visit the Windows on the World web site.  We'll be using Ballroom B (#5) on Floor 106.  The floor plan is depicted below:

VIII. Short Bios of Select Participants 

Thomas Barnett
Dr. Barnett is Professor and Senior Strategic Researcher at the Decision Strategies Department of the Center for Naval Warfare Studies, U.S. Naval War College.  Prior to joining the College, he served as Project Director for The CNA Corporation of Alexandria, Virginia.  His most recent articles, "India's 12-Steps to a World-Class Navy" and "Asia's Energy Future Requires U.S. Naval Presence" will be published in the U.S. Naval Institute's Proceedings (July 2001 and TBD).  He has a BA in Russian Literature and U.S. Foreign Policy from U. Wisconsin, and an MA in Eurasian Studies and a PhD in Government from Harvard.

Carlton Bartels
Mr. Bartels is currently the Chief Executive Officer of CO2e.com, which was recently formed by Cantor Fitzgerald and PriceWaterhouse Coopers to to serve as the pre-eminent business-to-business online resource for corporations to understand, mitigate, and manage the transition and impact of greenhouse gas emission constraints on corporations globally.  Mr. Bartels articles and speeches on emissions trading have appeared in dozens of trade journals and conference proceedings.  He has advised the U.S. Delegation to the Conference of the Parties and the White House Climate Change Task Force, as well as numerous governmental agencies throughout the world regarding the implementation of domestic and international emissions trading. Mr. Bartels earned a Masters of Business Administration from the University of Vermont in 1985.

James Caverly
Jim Caverly is currently in the Deputy Director for National Security, Office of Science and Technology Policy at the Department of Energy (DOE) . He has been with the Department and its predecessor agencies for over 20 years, working on a broad range of energy related issues including energy security, domestic energy supply, nuclear safeguards and security, energy emergency response, and national security. He is a graduate of the University of Notre Dame and the Naval War College and served for three years as the DOE Chair on the faculty of the Industrial College of the Armed Forces (ICAF).

Vice Admiral Arthur Cebrowski, USN
Vice Admiral Cebrowski became the 47th President, Naval War College in July 1998.  He had previously served as Director, Navy Space, Information Warfare, Command and Control.  Vice Admiral Cebrowski has commanded Fighter Squadron 41 and Carrier Air Wing EIGHT, both embarked in USS NIMITZ.  He later commanded the assault ship USS GUAM.  During Operation Desert Storm, he commanded the aircraft carrier USS MIDWAY.  Following promotion to flag rank, he became Commander, Carrier Group SIX and Commander, AMERICA Battle Group.  In addition to combat deployments to Vietnam and the Persian Gulf, he has deployed in support of United Nations operations in Iraq, Somalia and Bosnia.  Vice Admiral Cebrowski holds a Bachelor of Science degree in Mathematics from Villanova University and a Master of Science Degree in Computer Systems Management from the Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA.

Dr. Bruce Elleman
Bruce Elleman is an Associate Professor of Strategic Research in the Center for Naval Warfare Studies at the Naval War College.  His fields of specialization include Chinese, Japanese and Russian history, East Asian international relations, and Chinese military affairs.  Prior to joining the college, Dr. Elleman taught at Texas Christian University, Hunter College, and Cheng Chih University in Taipei.  He has received degrees from the London School of Economics, University of California at Berkeley, and Columbia University, where he earned a PhD in History in 1993.  His book, Modern Chinese Warfare, 1795-1989, is being published this year.

Admiral William Flanagan, USN (ret.)
"Bud" Flanagan is a Senior Managing Director at Cantor Fitzgerald LP, the world's largest broker of U.S. Government securities, Eurobonds, and sovereign debt.  The admiral's portfolio focuses on emerging markets, particularly those brought about by government deregulation and privatization.  He served in the U.S. Navy for 29 years, his final position being Commander-in-Chief of the U.S. Atlantic Fleet from 1994-96, with geographic responsibilities for the entire Western Hemisphere and all of West Europe.  Adm. Flanagan is a graduate of the Massachusetts Maritime Academy, and holds a BS in Maritime Transport and an MA in Political Science from American University.

James Giblin
Dr. Giblin currently serves as Professor in the National Security Decision Making Department at the U.S. Naval War College.  His fields of specialization include strategic planning, force planning, the Asia-Pacific Rim, maritime operations and crisis action planning.  Previous to the college, Prof. Giblin served in various positions in the office of the Director of Central Intelligence, following a career in the Navy. Dr. Giblin has a BS from the U.S. Naval Academy, an MA from Georgetown University and a PhD from the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy.  

Philip Ginsberg
Dr. Ginsberg is an Executive Vice President at Cantor Fitzgerald, the world's largest broker of U.S. Government securities, Eurobonds, and sovereign debt.  He is also Vice President of the Cantor Fitzgerald Foundation and Director of Cantor Fitzgerald International.  Prior to this, Dr. Ginsberg served as a consultant to both industry and government, and held academic postings at the University of Washington, Rutgers University, and Northwestern University's Kellogg School of Management.  He also founded the Llorex Corporation, which specialized in financial information products.  He has a BA in Mathematics from Cornell University, and an MA and PhD in Economics from Purdue University.

David Gordon
Dr. Gordon was appointed National Intelligence Officer for Economics and Global Issues in May 1998.  Before joining the National Intelligence Council, he was Senior Fellow and Director of U.S. Policy Program at the Overseas Development Council.  From 1993 to 1995, he was a senior professional staff member on the House International Relations Committee.  From late 1991 to 1993, he worked as an international economics consultant for Abt Associates.  In the 1980s, Dr. Gordon pursued an academic career with a joint appointment at the University of Michigan and Michigan State University.  Dr. Gordon is a graduate of Bowdoin College and undertook graduate studies in both political science and economics at the University of Michigan, where he received his PhD in 1981. 

Salman Haidar
Salman Haidar served as India's Foreign Secretary from 1995 to 1997.  Following a brief stint as India's High Commissoner to the United Kingdom, he retired from the diplomatic service in 1997.  An Indian Foreign Service officer of the 1960 batch, Haidar was long considered one of India's best diplomats. Prior to becoming the foreign secretary in 1995, Haidar was Secretary (East) in the External Affairs Ministry. He also held many other crucial posts in his career.  Among other important positions he held was that of Director in the Prime Minister's office, the External Affairs Ministry Spokesperson, the Deputy High Commissioner of India to the United Kingdom and India's Ambassador to China.   Haidar also led the Indian delegation at the first two rounds of the resumed Foreign Secretary-level talks between India and Pakistan in 1997.

Bradd Hayes
Professor Bradd C. Hayes is a Senior Strategic Researcher in the Decision Strategies Department of the Center for Naval Warfare Studies, US Naval War College. He has been a member of the faculty since August 1992, previously serving as Assistant Director of the Strategic Research Department. Prior to that, he was the Strategy and Policy Officer for the Commander in Chief, US Naval Forces Europe. Previous appointments included command of Helicopter Anti-Submarine Squadron Six aboard USS Enterprise, followed by a tour as a Federal Executive Fellow with the RAND Corporation, culminating with the publication of a RAND Note entitled, Naval Rules of Engagement: Management Tools for Crisis.

Gregg Hoffman
Prof. Hoffman currently serves in the U.S. Naval War College's Decision Strategies Department, where he helped design and set up the original Decision Strategies Center.  Since the beginning of operations in October 1995, he's been responsible for DSD technical operations, including LANs, display capabilities, and VTC; instrumental in designing and equipping new DSC in McCarty Little Hall.  Prior Experience: 23 years in USN, Interior Communications Chief /Surface Warfare (Ret.), served at United States Naval War College as multimedia coordinator (92-96), commissioned the lead ship in the class, USS Wasp (LHD-1) serving as leading chief of Electrical Division of the Engineering Department (88-92), and served at Presidential Retreat Camp David as the Classified Maintenance Chief of electronic security (83-88).

Jeanine Hull
Jeanine Hull is founder and president of Strategic Energy Advisors Inc. (SEA), a Washington-based energy consultancy.  Before forming SEA in April 1997, Ms. Hull was vice president and assistant general counsel for LG&E Power Inc, where she was instrumental in establishing and positioning its marketing arm.  In addition to her work with SEA, Ms. Hull joined Cantor Fitzgerald, LP in 1998 where she is guiding Cantor’s development of new products and services for energy markets.  Ms. Hull was project finance counsel at the Washington law firms of Kirkpatrick & Lockhart and Lane and Edsonk, and was nuclear and electricity counsel to the Energy and Commerce Committee of the U.S. House of Representatives.  Ms. Hull earned a BA honors in philosophy from the University of Kentucky and a JD from the Hastings College of the Law.   

Nancy Kete
Dr. Kete is the Director of the Climate, Energy and Pollution Program at the World Resources Institute, having recently joined WRI from the Environmental Protection Agency where she was Deputy Director of the Office of Atmospheric Programs.  While at EPA, she worked as Senior Policy Analyst in the Office of Air and Radiation from 1987 to 1991, where she was responsible for issues related to the energy sector and air pollution policy. While in that position, she led the EPA team responsible for the acid rain control provisions of the 1990 Clean Air Act Amendments, which represented the first large scale practical applications of a tradable emissions program.  Dr. Kete holds a Ph.D. from the department of geography and environmental engineering at the Johns Hopkins University and a B.S. in geography from Southern Illinois University.

Maureen Koetz
Maureen T. Koetz is director of environmental policy at the Nuclear Energy Institute, overseeing policy development for environmental issues affecting the nuclear industry. Prior to joining NEI in 1997, Ms. Koetz served as Environmental Counsel on the majority staff of the Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee, handling issues related to environmental management of the nuclear weapons complex, environmental compliance at federal facilities under the Committee’s jurisdiction.  Before that, Ms. Koetz was environmental counsel to Senator Pete Domenici. Other previous positions include Deputy Assistant General Counsel of the Air Force, Assistant Regional Counsel of the EPA and active duty service in the US Navy as a Judge Advocate.  Ms. Koetz received her undergraduate and law degrees from the American University.

Lawrence E. Modisett
Dr. Modisett is Director of the Decision Strategies Department of the Center for Naval Warfare Studies.  In this capacity he oversees and participates in a wide variety of national security studies.  Dr. Modisett's fields of expertise include international affairs, national security issues, and Russia and Eastern Europe.  His prior government service includes a 19-year career as Analyst and Manager at the Central Intelligence Agency, and a three-year stint in the U.S. Information Agency as a member of the Foreign Service.  He has a BA in English from Ohio Wesleyan University, and an MS in Foreign Service and a PhD in History from Georgetown University.

Boyd Montgomery
Richard Boyd Montgomery is Vice President, International Energy Operations, Bangladesh, India & China and in that job has primarily responsibilities for all new ventures in those areas.  Born in Key West, Florida, he earned his bachelor’s degree in Electrical Engineering from the University of Washington in 1971, Masters in Electrical Engineering from Stanford in 1972 and an MBA from Harvard in 1974. Mr. Montgomery worked for several divisions of Boeing from 1974 to 1980 in corporate planning, financial planning, project management and marketing.  He has also worked at the Director, Strategic Planning, CSX, and Vice President, Constellation Energy.  In 1994, he was recruited to Enron Development Corporation where he oversaw development activities in Indonesia and Taiwan until joining Unocal in 1996.  

Charles Nemfakos
Mr. Nemfakos graduated from the Pan American University in 1964 with a BA in History. He later entered the Department of the Navy in 1966. In 1994 he assumed the position of Deputy Assistant Secretary of the Navy (Installations and Environment). In that capacity, he was responsible for force basing and infrastructure requirements analysis and policy determinations with primary responsibility for the Department’s base closures.  In 1995 Mr. Nemfakos was designated as the Deputy Under Secretary of the Navy with broad responsibilities in providing executive level continuity in areas of institutional management and strategic planning. In addition, in 1998 he was designated Senior Civilian Official for the Office of the Assistant Secretary of the Navy for Financial Management and Comptroller (ASN (FM&C).

William Nitze
Mr. Nitze is an internationally renowned expert on environmental issues, and currently serves as President of the GEMSTAR Group, a company focused on bringing energy-efficient technologies to developing economies. He has held key positions in government, non-governmental organizations and the private sector in the United States and abroad. From 1994 to 2001, he served as Assistant Administrator for International Activities, Environmental Protection Agency.  As Deputy Assistant Secretary of State for Environment, Health and Natural Resources, from 1987 to 1990, Mr. Nitze had a lead role in international negotiations on global issues such as climate change, ozone layer protection, transboundary shipments of hazardous substances, biotechnology and the conservation of tropical forests.  Mr. Nitze is an alumnus of Harvard College (1964), Wadham College, Oxford (1966) and Harvard Law School (1969). He is a member of the State of New York and the U.S. Supreme Court Bars.

Douglas H. Paal
Douglas H. Paal is President of the Asia Pacific Policy Center (APPC), a non-profit institution in Washington, D.C., which advocates bipartisan policy in the promotion of trade and investment, as well as defense and security ties across the Pacific.  Prior to forming the APPC, Mr. Paal was Special Assistant to President Bush for National Security Affairs and Senior Director for Asian Affairs on the National Security Council, where he also served in the Reagan Administration.  Mr. Paal has worked in the State Department with the Policy Planning Staff and as a senior analyst for the CIA.  He also served in the U.S. Embassies in Singapore and Beijing.  He studied Asian history at Brown and Harvard Universities and the Japanese language in Tokyo.  He publishes frequently on Asian affairs and national security issues.  

R K Pachauri
Dr R K Pachauri became the Director of Tata Energy Research Institute in 1981 and has guided its growth into a premier research institute. TERI provides support in energy, environment, forestry, biotechnology, and resource conservation to governments, institutions, and corporations worldwide. Commencing his career at the Diesel Locomotive Works, Varanasi, he went on to obtain two doctorates in Industrial Engineering and Economics from the North Carolina State University, USA. He served as Director, Consulting and Applied Research, Administrative Staff College of India (1979–1981). He served as the UNDP Administrator’s Part-time Adviser for Energy and Sustainable Management of Natural Resources (1994–99).  Dr Pachauri is currently Vice-Chairman, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.

Minxin Pei
Minxin Pei’s research covers a wide range of subjects: Chinese politics, economic reform, East Asian politics, U.S. relations with East Asian countries, and democratization in developing countries. He has published extensively on these topics. Before joining the Endowment, Minxin Pei was a faculty member in the Politics Department at Princeton University and had received numerous prestigious awards and fellowships, including the Olin Faculty Fellowship, the National Fellowship at Hoover Institution, the Robert S. MacNamara Fellowship of the World Bank, and the LaPorte Preceptorship at Princeton University. He holds a doctorate in political science from Harvard University. His current research project is the politics of legal reform in China.

John Petersen
John Petersen is a leading futurist who writes and thinks about high impact surprises--wild cards--that are global in scope, potentially disruptive, and intrinsically out of control.  In 1989 Petersen founded The Arlington Institute (TAI), a non-profit, future-oriented research institute. Using advanced information technology, a core group of bright thinkers and an international network of exceptionally curious people along with gaming events and simulations, modeling, scenario building, polling and analysis, Arlington helps equip leaders from many disciplines with tools and perspectives on probable futures.  An award-winning writer, Petersen's first book, The Road to 2015: Profiles of the Future was awarded Outstanding Academic Book of 1995 by CHOICE Academic Review. 

Leif Rosenberger
Dr. Rosenberger is the Economic Advisor to Admiral Blair, Commander-in-Chief, U.S. Pacific Command. In addition, he supports the J2 and JICPAC as the Command’s chief economic intelligence analyst.  Before coming to CINCPAC in 1998, Dr. Rosenberger was Professor of Economics for 10 years at the US Army War College. Dr. Rosenberger has also worked in the Strategic Studies Institute at the US Army War College. In addition, he was a Soviet foreign policy/Asian analyst at CIA and a defense economist at DIA. Dr. Rosenberger is a 1989 graduate of the US Army War College, where he was a winner of the student writing award. He holds a Ph.D. from Claremont Graduate School, a Masters from Boston University and a BA from Harvard University, where he was the only two-sport, six letter winning athlete to graduate with honors in 1972. 

Stephen Schlaikjer
Mr. Schlaikjer has been Foreign Policy Advisor to the Chief of Naval Operations, Admiral Vern Clark, since October 2000.  He advises the CNO on international issues of both general and particular interest to the Navy and helps to coordinate the CNO’s encounters with counterparts and other foreign government officials. Mr. Schlaikjer is a 27-year veteran of the U.S. Foreign Service, holding the personal rank of Minister-Counselor.  A China area specialist, he is an economic officer with broad experience in trade negotiations and economic policy development.  Prior to joining the CNO’s staff, he was the State Department’s Director of Chinese & Mongolian Affairs.  A 1974 graduate of Yale University, Mr. Schlaikjer speaks and reads Mandarin Chinese and has received training in French, Urdu and Hindi.  

Katsuaki Terasawa
Dr. Katsuaki L. Terasawa joined the Croft Institute and faculty of the School of Business Administration in 1998. He currently teaches global economic issues, international trade and open macroeconomics. His research interests include East Asian security and economics as well as global environmental issues. He has taught economics at California Institute of Technology, UCLA and the U.S. Naval Postgraduate School, where he was Director of the Military Economic Strategy Center for Asia. He received his Ph.D. from the University of Kansas in 1972. Outside the academic realm, he served as a senior economist and as a manager at NASA's Jet Propulsion Lab (renewable energy system project), a senior staff member at Caltech's Environmental Quality Lab (Los Angeles basin air pollution abatement project) and a senior economist at the RAND Corporation (government procurement project; U.S.-Japan Relations Center). Dr. Terasawa also serves as associate director of the Croft Institute on a half-time basis.

Major Dakota L. Wood, USMC
Major Wood currently serves as the U.S. Marine Corps Military Assistant to the Director of Net Assessment. Prior to this assignment, he worked within the Strategic Initiatives Group, providing analysis of emerging national security issues for the Commandant of the Marine Corps.  With a background in logistics, Maj. Wood has deployed to the Mediterranean with the 26^th Marine Expeditionary Unit, and has served in a variety of logistics and combat service support billets with operating forces in Hawaii; Camp Lejeune, N. Carolina; and Okinawa, Japan.  He has a BS in Oceanography from the U.S. Naval Academy and an MA in National Security and Strategic Studies from the Naval War College.