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Foreign Direct
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Contents
I. Description of decision event goals
II. General description of decision event format and conceptual approach
III. Final schedule
IV. List of scheduled participants (with links to online bios)
V. Web sites you may want to check out before coming
VI. Administrative details (including printable form for faxed registration)
VII. Short bios of all
scheduled participants and NWC personnel
I. Decision Event
Goals
Generate a "relationship profile"
delineating how both Asia and the West must adapt past practices to meet
the coming challenges of developing Asia's huge demand for foreign
direct investment (FDI)
Explore the key scenario variables
and dynamics likely to emerge as Asia's FDI requirements balloon in the
coming years, focusing on the need for viable rule sets underpinned by a
stable regional security environment
Determine which political-military
instability scenarios present the greatest potential to ruin Asia's FDI
climate
Construct realistic downstream scenarios (covering the next 10-15 years) capturing Asia's movement toward, or away from, a shared FDI rule set with the world's leading economies (i.e, the Triad "squared").
II. Decision Event Format
The one-day workshop (Monday, 16 Oct) will focus on
both Asian and Non-Asian sources of FDI in Asia, as well as Developing
Asia's continued emergence as the new "sink" for global
FDI
Approximately three dozen
participants drawn equally from the financial, government,
security, and regional expert communities will attend the "decision
event"
The "decision event" will involve
both facilitated discussion by the group as a whole and individual
participation in collective brainstorming tasks employing a decision
software system known as GroupSystems (with each participant entering
data anonymously via a dedicated laptop and all participants interacting
asynchronously with one another's inputted ideas via a portable Local
Area Network); overall we anticipate about 4 hours of group discussions
and 3 hours of group brainstorming via laptops
No papers are to be presented or
distributed, and no preparation is required beyond perusing this
read-ahead package, which will be finalized about a week before the
event
The five working sessions will involve a cumulative exploration of a rough "influence net" model that we are constructing regarding the key dynamics of Asia's future financing requirements and the impact those potentially huge demands could have on the global economy and security environment. The figure presented below represents--in a reduced fashion--an opening draft of an appropriate influence net.

Sessions IA and IB (Where Asia Gets
the Money and Energy Case Study) will focus on inner most circle (The
Blend).
Session II (Build Your Own Free Trade Zone) will
focus on second-most inner circle (The
Players).
Sessions IIIa and IIIb (Pick Your
Dream Investment Partner and Scenario Flashpoint) will focus on
second-most outer circle (The Unfolding).
Session IV (Rule
Set Scenarios) will focus on the outer most circle (The
Adjustment).
III. Decision Event Schedule
MONDAY,
16OCT00
Windows on the
World, Floor 106, World Trade Center One
0730
Check in and
continental breakfast
Please present yourself at the Windows on the
World reception desk in the lobby of the World Trade Center One
tower. Identify yourself as a participant of the "Cantor
Fitzgerald/eSpeed conference" in Ballroom B on Floor 106. Then take
the special elevator designated for Windows on the World and once you
reach Floor 106, simply follow the signs.
0800
Introduction brief and welcoming comments
--Dr. Thomas
Barnett, Director, NewRuleSets.Project
--VADM Arthur Cebrowski,
President, U.S. Naval War College
--Adm. William Flanagan, Senior
Managing Director, Cantor Fitzgerald
0810
Orientation brief
--Dr. Thomas Barnett, Director,
NewRuleSets.Project
Dr. Barnett will present a quick overview
of the NewRuleSets.Project.
0830
Introduction to GroupSystems:
Start-up brainstorming exercise
--Prof. Bradd Hayes
You will be
asked to participate in a short brainstorming exercise designed to
familiarize you with the basic tasks we'll ask you to perform within
GroupSystems throughout the rest of the day--namely, entering in new
ideas, commenting on the ideas of others, and voting.
0845 Session IA
Where Asia Gets the Money,
aka "You Make the Call!"
Participants will be presented with a
projection of FDI outward stock possessed by the so-called Triad (US, EU,
Japan) and Developing Asia for 2010 and will be asked to make two votes
regarding the distribution of that combined stock pool. Facilitated
discussions will also occur.
0945
Coffee break
1000 Session IB
Case Study on Energy, "Davos
Man versus Seattle Man"
Participants will be asked to engage in two
brainstorming exercises regarding the future unfolding of FDI in the Asian
energy sector, exploring the question of how much market-based strategies
designed to maximize development should dominate (Davos Man) versus
state-based strategies designed to protect local interests (Seattle
Man). Facilitated discussions will also
occur.
1100 Session II
Build Your Own Free Trade Zone, aka "The Six Degrees of
Kevin Bacon Game" (based on the movie trivia game designed to show how
easy it is to trace connections between various movie stars based on their
acting in movies with common actors)
In a series of GroupSystems
activities, participants will be asked to assemble Asian and non-Asian
economies into a number of new cross-regional FTAs. Facilitated
discussion will follow each activity. At the end of this series of activities/discussions, we will
tally up the cumulative findings to generate a list of the "most easily
connected states" (i.e., the most Kevin Bacon-like economy in
Asia).
1200
Lunch
1300 Session III (A)
Pick Your Dream
Investment Partner, aka "The Dating Game" (based on the old American
television game show in which three contestants vied to be chosen by a
member of the opposite sex for a spectacular dating experience designed to
generate a long-term romance; the process being one where the "guest," or
person doing the choosing, asks the three contestants a series of
questions designed to reveal aspects of their personality)
In a
series of GroupSystems activities, participants will be asked to input
answers on behalf of three contestants vying to be chosen as potential FDI
partners in Asia. Facilitated discussion will follow each
activity. The "guest" asking the questions will be "Developing
Asia," and participants will be asked to generate replies on behalf of
three contestants:
NAFTA
European Union
Industrialized Asia.
1440
Break
1450 Session III (B)
Scenario Flashpoint, aka "Dear
Miss Manners" (based on the newspaper columnist who dispenses advice on
how to handle difficult social situations)
Participants will be
presented with a 2010-timeframe political-military scenario vignette in
which the actions of one or more Asian states threaten to dramatically
sour the region's FDI climate. Adopting the guise of Miss Manners,
participants will be asked to pen "advice emails" to the leaders of three
countries and/or international organizations. Participants will
address their emails to various government leaders (e.g., President of the
United States) and/or international organizations (e.g., IMF, World
Bank).
1530
Break
1545 Session
IV
Rule Set Scenarios, aka "Headlines From the
Future"
Participants will be presented with 4 outcome scenarios for
the emergence of FDI rule sets in Asia as a result of that region's
economic development over the next 10-15 years. The scenarios are
based on two simple questions:
Will the United States remain as
military "Leviathan" in the region or will an Asian country or group of
countries replace the U.S. in that security
role?
Will the global "pie" of investment resources continue to grow along with the economies of the most advanced countries or will it shrink in some significant economic downturn?
These two questions generate four possible outcomes, as depicted below:

In this session, participants will
be asked to generate imagined newspaper headlines we'd likely to see in
the New York Times, Washington Post, and Wall Street Journal in the
2010-15 timeframe if Asia were to move from the today scenario to any of
the other three. Facilitated discussion will follow each of the
three scenario headline-writing activities. The session will end
with participants nominating scenario titles for each of the three
scenario pathways (today-->better?, today-->worry?, and
today-->danger?) and then voting on their
favorite.
1700
Final
comments and wrap-up
Every participant
will be given a final chance to offer commentary on the day's
events.
1730
Adjourn; followed immediately by a cocktail
hour
IV. Workshop Participants
The table below lists the participants. Short bios for some appear directly below on this page. More complete bios are accessed via the provided links within the table.
| FINANCIAL | POLITICAL | SECURITY | REGIONAL | NRS PROJECT |
| Adm.
William Flanagan, USN (ret), Senior Managing Director, Cantor
Fitzgerald |
Mr.
Charles Nemfakos, Dep. Under Secy of Navy/Asst. Secy. for Financial Man. & Comptroller |
VAdm.
Arthur Cebrowski, USN, President, U.S. Naval War College (NWC) |
Dr. Jonathan Pollack, Chairman, Strategic Research Department, NWC | Dr.
Thomas P.M. Barnett, NewRuleSets Director [bio] |
| Dr. Philip Ginsberg, Exec Vice President, Cantor Fitzgerald | Mr. Jim Miller, Hagler Bailly | RAdm.
Mike McDevitt, USN (ret.), Dir., Project Asia, Center for Strategic
Studies, The CNA Corp. |
Dr.
Minxin Pei, Senior Associate, Carnegie Endowment for Int'l
Peace [bio] |
Dr. Lawrence Modisett, Chairman, Decision Strategies Department |
| Mr. John Pike, Director of Research, Zentrale Commerzbank AG, Frankfurt | Dr.
Gary C. Hufbauer, Senior Fellow, Institute for International
Economics [bio] |
RAdm. Barbara McGann, USN, Provost, U.S. Naval War College (NWC) | Dr. David Harries, Director, Waterpeople, Inc., Jakarta | Prof. Bradd Hayes, DSD |
| Mr. Edward McDougal,
Lehman Brothers |
Ms. Smita Purushottam, Ministry of External Affairs of India | Dr. Leif Rosenberger, Econ Adviser to CINC, U.S. Pacific Command | Ms. Elisabeth E. Scheper, Head, E/SE Asia Dept, Netherlands Organization for Int'l Coop (Novib) | Cdr. Carl Carlson, USN, Deputy Director, DSD |
| Mr. Jeffrey Goetz, Poten and Partners | Mr. James Caverly, Deputy Director, Office of Science & Technology, Dept. of Energy | Dr. James E. Auer, Dir., Center for U.S.-Japan Studies, Vanderbilt University | Capt. Peter Swartz, USN (ret), Director, Regional Studies, Center for Naval Analyses | Prof. Gregg Hoffman, DSD |
| Mr. Jeff Huang, Golden Calf Capital | Mr. Guy F. Caruso, Exec Dir, Strat. Energy Initiative, Center for Strat. & Int'l Studies | Dr. Peter Dombrowski, Strategic Research Department, NWC | Mr.
Russell Hayward, VP and CTO, Dynamic Strategies Asia |
Ms. Lynda Miller, DSD |
| Mr. Thomas
Cunningham, Emcor Group |
Mr. Lucian Pugliaresi, President, LPI Consulting Inc. | Mr. Mark Arens, U.S. Joint Forces Command, Department of Defense | Mr. Mike Feeley, Sino-American Development Corporation | X |
V. Useful Background Links
Subject Matter
Dept. of Energy's Energy Information Administration Home Page: http://www.eia.doe.gov/
Dept. of State's Regions/Country Information Page: http://www.state.gov/www/regions.html
Dept. of Commerce's International Trade Administration Page: http://www.ita.doc.gov/
The White House's China Trade Relations Working Group Page: http://www.chinapntr.gov/
Asian Development Bank's Home Page: http://www.adb.org/
Hosts
U.S. Naval War College (NWC): http://www.nwc.navy.mil/
NWC's Center for Naval Warfare Studies: http://www.nwc.navy.mil/cnws/
NWC's Decision Strategies Department: http://www.nwc.navy.mil/dsd/
Cantor Fitzgerald Home Page: http://www.cantor.com/
eSpeed Home Page: http://www.espeed.com/
If you could suggest other good sites, please contact Tom Barnett with the URLs.
VI. Administrative Details

VI.
Short Bios of Select Participants
James Auer
Dr.
Auer is the Director of the Center for U.S.-Japan Studies and Cooperation
at the Vanderbilt Institute for Public Policy Studies and Research
Professor at Vanderbilt's School of Engineering. From April 1979 until
September 1988, he served as Special Assistant for Japan in the Office of
the Secretary of Defense. He served in the U.S. Navy from 1963 to 1983 in
a number of positions, largely in Japan. He holds an BA from Marquette
University and a PhD from the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy, Tufts
University. His thesis, The Postwar Rearmament of Japanese Maritime
Forces 1945-1971, was published in English by Praeger Publishers and
in Japanese translation by the Jiji Press under the title Yomigaeru
Nippon Kaigun.
Thomas Barnett
Dr. Barnett is
Professor and Senior Strategic Researcher at the Decision Strategies
Department of the Center for Naval Warfare Studies. Prior to joining
the College, he served as Project Director for The CNA Corporation of
Alexandria, Virginia, where he managed the USAID account. His most
recent work on the potential impact of the upcoming presidential election
on U.S. military strategic planning, "Force
Structure Will Change," appears in the October 2000 issue of the U.S.
Naval Institute's Proceedings. He has a BA in Russian
Literature and U.S. Foreign Policy from the University of Wisconsin, and
an MA in Eurasian Studies and a PhD in Government from Harvard
University.
Commander Carl Carlson,
USN
Commander Carl G. Carlson
has served the Naval War College, Newport, RI since December 1998 as the
Assistant Director of the Decision Strategies Department. Prior, he was
the Light Airborne Multi-purpose System surface combat system project team
leader, and the surface combatant remote mine-hunting SQQ-89 ship
integration coordinator on the staff of the Program Manager for Surface
ASW Combat Systems in the Program Executive Office for Undersea Warfare.
Cdr. Carlson has a BS in Systems Engineering from the U.S. Naval Academy,
a MS in Operations Research from the Naval Post Graduate School, and a MA
in Strategic Studies from the Naval War College.
James Caverly
Jim Caverly is currently in the Deputy Director for
National Security, Office of Science and Technology Policy at the
Department of Energy (DOE) . He has been with the Department and its
predecessor agencies for over 20 years, working on a broad range of energy
related issues including energy security, domestic energy supply, nuclear
safeguards and security, energy emergency response, and national
security. He is a graduate of the
University of Notre Dame and the Naval War College and served for three
years as the DOE Chair on the faculty of the Industrial College of the
Armed Forces (ICAF).
Vice Admiral Arthur Cebrowski,
USN
Vice Admiral Cebrowski became the
47th President, Naval War College in July 1998. He had previously
served as Director, Navy Space, Information Warfare, Command and
Control. Vice Admiral Cebrowski has commanded Fighter Squadron 41
and Carrier Air Wing EIGHT, both embarked in USS NIMITZ. He later
commanded the assault ship USS GUAM. During Operation Desert Storm,
he commanded the aircraft carrier USS MIDWAY. Following promotion to
flag rank, he became Commander, Carrier Group SIX and Commander, AMERICA
Battle Group. In addition to combat deployments to Vietnam and the
Persian Gulf, he has deployed in support of United Nations operations in
Iraq, Somalia and Bosnia. Vice Admiral Cebrowski holds a Bachelor of
Science degree in Mathematics from Villanova University and a Master of
Science Degree in Computer Systems Management from the Naval Postgraduate
School, Monterey, CA.
Guy F. Caruso
Guy Caruso is
executive director of the Strategic Energy Intiative at the Center for
Strategic and International Studies. During a 32-year career in the U.S.
government, he served in various senior positions at the U.S. Department
of Energy and the Central Intelligence Agency, all of which were related
to energy policy, energy markets, or energy security. Caruso served two
assignments with the International Energy Agency in Paris, France. Most
recently he was the director responsible for developing energy cooperative
programs with non-OECD countries with emphasis on Russia, China, and the
Middle East. He holds B.S. and M.A. degrees from the University of
Connecticut and an M.P.A. from Harvard University.
Thomas D. Cunningham
Mr.
Cunningham currently serves as Executive Vice President of the Emcor Group
Inc. of Norwalk CT. He joined
Emcor's Board (Audit and Compensation Committees) in January 1995 as
company emerged from Chapter XI with new management team and new
Board. By 1997, EMCOR
returned to profitability, revenue grew to $2.0B and decision was made to
grow service side of business.
Joined EMCOR in 1997 as senior officer responsible for corporate
growth and development, capital structure and administration. Previous senior
positions include Executive Vice President and CFO of Swiss Army Brands,
and
Managing Director at J.P. Morgan. Mr. Cunningham holds a BA in
Economics from Harvard College and a MBA in Finance from Columbia
University.
Peter Dombrowski
Dr. Dombrowki is an associate professor in the
Strategic Research Department of the Naval War College. Prior to this, he was an associate
professor of political science at Iowa State University. He has published research on
international relations, global finance, foreign economic policy making
and international assistance to the post-communist transition. In 1996, the University of
Pittsburgh Press published his book, Policy Responses to the Globalization
of American Banks. most
recent articles is “The New Policy Challenges of Financial Services
Globalization,” Policy Studies
Review (forthcoming 2000). He holds a BA degree from Williams
College and an MA and Ph.D. from the University of Maryland.
Admiral William Flanagan, USN (ret.)
"Bud" Flanagan is a Senior Managing Director at Cantor Fitzgerald
LP, the world's largest broker of U.S. Government securities, Eurobonds,
and sovereign debt. The admiral's portfolio focuses on emerging
markets, particularly those brought about by government deregulation and
privatization. He served in the U.S. Navy for 29 years, his final
position being Commander-in-Chief of the U.S. Atlantic Fleet from 1994-96,
with geographic responsibilities for the entire Western Hemisphere and all
of West Europe. Adm. Flanagan is a graduate of the Massachusetts
Maritime Academy, and holds a BS in Maritime Transport and an MA in
Political Science from American University.
Philip Ginsberg
Dr. Ginsberg
is an Executive Vice President at Cantor Fitzgerald, the world's largest
broker of U.S. Government securities, Eurobonds, and sovereign debt.
He is also Vice President of the Cantor Fitzgerald Foundation and Director
of Cantor Fitzgerald International. Prior to this, Dr. Ginsberg
served as a consultant to both industry and government, and held academic
postings at the University of Washington, Rutgers University, and
Northwestern University's Kellogg School of Management. He also
founded the Llorex Corporation, which specialized in financial information
products. He has a BA in Mathematics from Cornell University, and an
MA and PhD in Economics from Purdue University.
David Harries
David Harries
moved to Asia in 1995 to work as a strategic analyst. He is currently,
among other things, director of Waterpeople, Inc., a Canadian-Indonesian
joint venture in consulting, testing, treatment, management and protection
of water. Since 1995 he has advised institutions and businesses on
competency, transparency and how to analyze and exploit strategic
implications of current events, trends and personalities in
Asia. After primary education in Canada and England and military
college, he completed Ph.D studies in nuclear engineering in the UK. He is
a graduate of several civilian and military institutions. As a military
officer, he served in operational national, continental, NATO and United
Nations positions in airborne, combat engineer, peacekeeping and
development settings.
Bradd Hayes
Professor Bradd
C. Hayes is a Senior Strategic Researcher in the Decision Strategies
Department of the Center for Naval Warfare Studies, US Naval War College.
He has been a member of the faculty since August 1992, previously serving
as Assistant Director of the Strategic Research Department. Prior to that,
he was the Strategy and Policy Officer for the Commander in Chief, US
Naval Forces Europe. Previous appointments included command of Helicopter
Anti-Submarine Squadron Six aboard USS Enterprise, followed by a tour as a
Federal Executive Fellow with the RAND Corporation, culminating with the
publication of a RAND Note entitled, Naval Rules of Engagement: Management
Tools for Crisis.
Russell Hayward
Mr. Hayward
serves as Vice President and Chief Technology Officer for Dynamic
Strategies Asia, LC, where he specializes in U.S.-Japan trade issues,
economic policies, and technology developments in Asia. He has traveled
widely in the region and served for two years as an economic analyst in
the U.S. Embassy in Tokyo. As Chief of Emerging Technologies at the CIA
and a Senior Analyst on East Asia, Mr. Hayward conducted many briefings
for senior U.S. officials. He served as Director of Policy Planning for
Japan in the Office of the United States Trade Representative in the early
1990s and worked closely with U.S. negotiators on the satellites, auto
parts, insurance, and supercomputers issues. He holds a B.A. and an M.A.
in Economics from the University of Maine.
Gregg Hoffman
Prof. Hoffman currently serves in the U.S. Naval War
College's Decision Strategies Department, where he helped design
and set up the original Decision Strategies Center. Since the
beginning of operations in October 1995, he's been responsible for DSD
technical operations, including LANs, display capabilities, and VTC;
instrumental in designing and equipping new DSC in McCarty Little
Hall. Prior Experience: 23 years in USN, Interior Communications
Chief /Surface Warfare (Ret.), served at United States Naval War College
as multimedia coordinator (92-96), commissioned the lead ship in the
class, USS Wasp (LHD-1) serving as leading chief of Electrical Division of
the Engineering Department (88-92), and served at Presidential Retreat
Camp David as the Classified Maintenance Chief of electronic security
(83-88).
Gary C. Hufbauer
Dr. Hufbauer
is currently the Reginald Jones Senior Fellow at the Institute for
International Economics. Prior to this, he served as the Marcus
Wallenberg Professor of International Finance Diplomacy at Georgetown
University (1985–92), Deputy Director of the International Law Institute
at Georgetown University (1979–81); Deputy Assistant Secretary for
International Trade and Investment Policy of the US Treasury (1977–79);
and Director of the International Tax Staff at the Treasury (1974–76). He
has written extensively on international trade, investment, and tax
issues.
Rear Admiral Michael McDevitt, USN
(ret.)
As the Director of Project Asia and the Center for
Strategic Studies at The CNA Corporation of Alexandria, VA, Rear Admiral
McDevitt is a specialist in East Asian Security Policy. His active
duty background includes the following positions: Commandant of the
National War College, Director for Strategy, Policy and Plans for the
Commander in Chief, U.S. Pacific Command, Director of the East Asia Policy
Division, ISA, Office of Secretary
of Defense, and Director of the
CNO Executive Panel and Director of Navy Long-Range Planning
(OP-00K). Rear Admiral McDevitt is a graduate of the National
War College, and holds a BA from the University of Southern California in
History and an MA from Georgetown University in American Diplomatic
History.
Rear Admiral Barbara McGann,
USN
In September 2000, Rear Admiral McGann
assumed duties as Provost, Naval War College.
Lawrence E. Modisett
Dr.
Modisett is Director of the Decision Strategies Department of the Center
for Naval Warfare Studies. In this capacity he oversees and
participates in a wide variety of national security studies. Dr.
Modisett's fields of expertise include international affairs, national
security issues, and Russia and Eastern Europe. His prior government
service includes a 19-year career as Analyst and Manager at the Central
Intelligence Agency, and a three-year stint in the U.S. Information Agency
as a member of the Foreign Service. He has a BA in English from Ohio
Wesleyan University, and an MS in Foreign Service and a PhD in History
from Georgetown University.
Charles Nemfakos
Mr. Nemfakos
graduated from the Pan American University in 1964 with a BA in History.
He later entered the Department of the Navy in 1966. In 1994 he assumed
the position of Deputy Assistant Secretary of the Navy (Installations and
Environment). In that capacity, he was responsible for force basing and
infrastructure requirements analysis and policy determinations with
primary responsibility for the Department’s base closures. In 1995
Mr. Nemfakos was designated as the Deputy Under Secretary of the Navy with
broad responsibilities in providing executive level continuity in areas of
institutional management and strategic planning. In addition, in 1998 he
was designated Senior Civilian Official for the Office of the Assistant
Secretary of the Navy for Financial Management and Comptroller (ASN
(FM&C).
Minxin Pei
Minxin Pei’s
research covers a wide range of subjects: Chinese politics, economic
reform, East Asian politics, U.S. relations with East Asian countries, and
democratization in developing countries. He has published extensively on
these topics. Before joining the Endowment, Minxin Pei was a faculty
member in the Politics Department at Princeton University and had received
numerous prestigious awards and fellowships, including the Olin Faculty
Fellowship, the National Fellowship at Hoover Institution, the Robert S.
MacNamara Fellowship of the World Bank, and the LaPorte Preceptorship at
Princeton University. He holds a doctorate in political science from
Harvard University. His current research project is the politics of legal
reform in China.
John Pike
Mr. Pike is currently Director
of Zentrale Asset Management Investment Research at the Zentral
Commerzbank AG, Frankfurt. In this position he oversees work in five
countries on the following topics: transformation management and
internationalization, research product development, marketing support in
Europe, Japan and South America. Assets under management are
currently estimated at US$ 140 billion. Previous positions include:
Managing Director, Towa International Ltd. (Sanwa Bank Group), London;
General Manager Sales and Trading, NKK Securities (DAi-Ichi Kangyo Bank),
London; and Deputy Chairman, Nippon Warrant Fund (SICAV),
Luxembourg. Mr. Pike holds a BA in Philosophy, Politics and
Economics from Oxford University.
Jonathan Pollack
Effective
October 1, 2000, Dr. Pollack will become Professor of Asian and Pacific
Studies and Director of the Strategic Research Department at the Naval War
College. A specialist on East
Asian political and strategic affairs, Prof. Pollack was previously
affiliated with RAND in Santa Monica, California, where he served in a
wide array of research and management capacities over the past two
decades. He received his M.A.
and Ph.D. from the University of Michigan and was a Postdoctoral Scholar
at Harvard University. He has
also taught at Brandeis University, UCLA, and the RAND Graduate School of
Policy Studies. He is a
member of the Council on Foreign Relations, the International Institute
for Strategic Studies, and the Committee on International Security and
Arms Control of the National Academy of Sciences.
Lucian Pugliaresi
Mr.
Pugliaresi is currently President
of LPI Consulting, Inc., a consulting firm providing representation and
advisory services to energy (largely petroleum) and high technology firms. LPI Consulting has offices
in Washington and Moscow and is active in a wide range of commercial
projects in the former Soviet Union, Eastern Europe, Asia and the Middle
East. Prior to beginning
private practice, Mr. Pugliaresi served in the U.S. Government at the U.S.
Departments of Interior and Energy, Environmental Protection Agency, U.S.
Department of State, and as Director for International Economic Affairs
and as Director of International Technology Affairs at the National
Security Council in the White House between 1984 and 1987. Mr. Pugliaresi is a graduate of
the University of California at Berkeley.
Smita Purushottam
Currently
serving in the Ministry of External Affairs of the Government of
India. Until recently, Ms. Purushottam has been director for her
Ministry of the South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation
(SAARC). Previously she had been director for the Eastern European
division in New Dehli. As a Weatherhead Fellow at the Center for
International Affairs at Harvard University, she is assessing the future direction of
the Indian economy by conducting an empirical
study on its recent liberalization and the process of its integration with
major regional economies and the global economy.
Leif Rosenberger
Dr. Rosenberger is the Economic Advisor to
Admiral Blair, Commander-in-Chief, U.S. Pacific Command. In addition, he
supports the J2 and JICPAC as the Command’s chief economic intelligence
analyst. Before coming to CINCPAC in 1998, Dr.
Rosenberger was Professor of Economics for 10 years at the US Army War
College. Dr. Rosenberger has also worked in the Strategic Studies
Institute at the US Army War College. In addition, he was a Soviet foreign
policy/Asian analyst at CIA and a defense economist at DIA. Dr.
Rosenberger is a 1989 graduate of the US Army War College, where he was a
winner of the student writing award. He holds a Ph.D. from Claremont
Graduate School, a Masters from Boston University and a BA from Harvard
University, where he was the only two-sport, six letter winning athlete to
graduate with honors in 1972.
Elisabeth Scheper
Ms. Scheper,
has been head, for the past ten years, of the East and Southeast Asia
Department of the Netherlands Organization for International Cooperation
(Novib).
For four years before coming to Novib she worked as a deputy
resident representative in Kathmandu with the Netherlands Development
Organization.
As a Weatherhead Fellow at the Center for International Affairs at
Harvard, she is carrying out research on how best to promote a
rights-based approach to building a global society.
Capt. Peter Swartz, USN
(ret.)
Peter
Swartz is Director of the International Affairs Group in The CNA
Corporation's new Center for Strategic Studies. He came to the corporation
in 1993 following a career in the U.S. Navy, where he helped author the
Navy's Maritime Strategy of the 1980s.. He also served as a Fellow at the
Center for Strategic and International Studies, Director of Defense
Operations at the U.S. Mission to NATO, and Special Assistant to the
Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff. He holds a BA from Brown
University, an MA from the Johns Hopkins University Nitze School of
Advanced International Studies (SAIS), and an MPhil from Colombia
University.