U.S. Naval War CollegeNaval War College's NewRuleSets.ProjectDecision Strategies Department

Foreign Direct Investment:
3 + x(Developing Asia) = Triad Squared?


Final Decision Event Read-ahead

16Oct00
Windows on the Word Restaurant
World Trade Center One
Manhattan, New York City


Hosted by
eSpeed

An affiliate of Cantor Fitzgerald LP

Contents

I. Description of  decision event goals

II. General description of decision event format and conceptual approach

III. Final schedule

IV. List of scheduled participants (with links to online bios)

V. Web sites you may want to check out before coming

VI. Administrative details (including printable form for faxed registration)

VII. Short bios of all scheduled participants and NWC personnel



I. Decision Event Goals


II. Decision Event Format

Rough FDI Influence Net

Sessions IA and IB (Where Asia Gets the Money and Energy Case Study) will focus on inner most circle (The Blend). 

Session II (Build Your Own Free Trade Zone) will focus on second-most inner circle (The Players). 

Sessions IIIa and IIIb (Pick Your Dream Investment Partner and Scenario Flashpoint) will focus on second-most outer circle (The Unfolding).

Session IV (Rule Set Scenarios) will focus on the outer most circle (The Adjustment).


III. Decision Event Schedule

MONDAY, 16OCT00
Windows on the World, Floor 106, World Trade Center One

0730
Check in and continental breakfast
Please present yourself at the Windows on the World reception desk in the lobby of the World Trade Center One tower.  Identify yourself as a participant of the "Cantor Fitzgerald/eSpeed conference" in Ballroom B on Floor 106.  Then take the special elevator designated for Windows on the World and once you reach Floor 106, simply follow the signs.


0800   
Introduction brief and welcoming comments
--Dr. Thomas Barnett, Director, NewRuleSets.Project
--VADM Arthur Cebrowski, President, U.S. Naval War College
--Adm. William Flanagan, Senior Managing Director, Cantor Fitzgerald


0810
   
Orientation brief 
--Dr. Thomas Barnett, Director, NewRuleSets.Project
Dr. Barnett will present a quick overview of the NewRuleSets.Project.

0830
Introduction to GroupSystems: Start-up brainstorming exercise
--Prof. Bradd Hayes
You will be asked to participate in a short brainstorming exercise designed to familiarize you with the basic tasks we'll ask you to perform within GroupSystems throughout the rest of the day--namely, entering in new ideas, commenting on the ideas of others, and voting.


0845 Session IA  

Where Asia Gets the Money, aka "You Make the Call!"
Participants will be presented with a projection of FDI outward stock possessed by the so-called Triad (US, EU, Japan) and Developing Asia for 2010 and will be asked to make two votes regarding the distribution of that combined stock pool.  Facilitated discussions will also occur. 

0945   
Coffee break

1000 Session IB  
Case Study on Energy, "Davos Man versus Seattle Man"
Participants will be asked to engage in two brainstorming exercises regarding the future unfolding of FDI in the Asian energy sector, exploring the question of how much market-based strategies designed to maximize development should dominate (Davos Man) versus state-based strategies designed to protect local interests (Seattle Man).  Facilitated discussions will also occur. 

1100 Session II
Build Your Own Free Trade Zone, aka "The Six Degrees of Kevin Bacon Game" (based on the movie trivia game designed to show how easy it is to trace connections between various movie stars based on their acting in movies with common actors)
In a series of GroupSystems activities, participants will be asked to assemble Asian and non-Asian economies into a number of new cross-regional FTAs.  Facilitated discussion will follow each activity. 
At the end of this series of activities/discussions, we will tally up the cumulative findings to generate a list of the "most easily connected states" (i.e., the most Kevin Bacon-like economy in Asia).

1200
   

Lunch

1300 Session III (A)   
Pick Your Dream Investment Partner, aka "The Dating Game" (based on the old American television game show in which three contestants vied to be chosen by a member of the opposite sex for a spectacular dating experience designed to generate a long-term romance; the process being one where the "guest," or person doing the choosing, asks the three contestants a series of questions designed to reveal aspects of their personality)
In a series of GroupSystems activities, participants will be asked to input answers on behalf of three contestants vying to be chosen as potential FDI partners in Asia.  Facilitated discussion will follow each activity.  The "guest" asking the questions will be "Developing Asia," and participants will be asked to generate replies on behalf of three contestants:

  1. NAFTA

  2. European Union

  3. Industrialized Asia.

1440   
Break

1450 Session III (B)
Scenario Flashpoint, aka "Dear Miss Manners" (based on the newspaper columnist who dispenses advice on how to handle difficult social situations)
Participants will be presented with a 2010-timeframe political-military scenario vignette in which the actions of one or more Asian states threaten to dramatically sour the region's FDI climate.  Adopting the guise of Miss Manners, participants will be asked to pen "advice emails" to the leaders of three countries and/or international organizations.  Participants will address their emails to various government leaders (e.g., President of the United States) and/or international organizations (e.g., IMF, World Bank).  

1530   
Break

1545 Session IV  
Rule Set Scenarios, aka "Headlines From the Future"
Participants will be presented with 4 outcome scenarios for the emergence of FDI rule sets in Asia as a result of that region's economic development over the next 10-15 years.  The scenarios are based on two simple questions:

These two questions generate four possible outcomes, as depicted below:

FDI Outcome Scenarios in Developing Asia

In this session, participants will be asked to generate imagined newspaper headlines we'd likely to see in the New York Times, Washington Post, and Wall Street Journal in the 2010-15 timeframe if Asia were to move from the today scenario to any of the other three.  Facilitated discussion will follow each of the three scenario headline-writing activities.  The session will end with participants nominating scenario titles for each of the three scenario pathways (today-->better?, today-->worry?, and today-->danger?) and then voting on their favorite.


1700   
Final comments and wrap-up
Every participant will be given a final chance to offer commentary on the day's events.


1730   
Adjourn; followed immediately by a cocktail hour


IV. Workshop Participants

The table below lists the participants.  Short bios for some appear directly below on this page.  More complete bios are accessed via the provided links within the table.

FINANCIAL POLITICAL SECURITY REGIONAL NRS PROJECT
Adm. William Flanagan, USN (ret), Senior Managing Director, Cantor Fitzgerald
 
Mr. Charles Nemfakos, 
Dep. Under Secy of Navy/Asst. Secy. for Financial Man. & Comptroller
VAdm. Arthur Cebrowski, USN, President, U.S. Naval War College (NWC)
 
Dr. Jonathan Pollack, Chairman, Strategic Research Department, NWC Dr. Thomas 
P.M. Barnett, 
NewRuleSets Director
[bio]
Dr. Philip Ginsberg, Exec Vice President, Cantor Fitzgerald Mr. Jim Miller, Hagler Bailly RAdm. Mike McDevitt, USN (ret.), Dir., Project Asia, Center for Strategic Studies,
The CNA Corp.
 
Dr. Minxin Pei, Senior Associate, Carnegie Endowment for Int'l Peace
[bio]
Dr. Lawrence Modisett, Chairman, Decision Strategies Department
Mr. John Pike, Director of Research, Zentrale Commerzbank AG, Frankfurt Dr. Gary C. Hufbauer, Senior Fellow, Institute for International Economics
[bio]
RAdm. Barbara McGann, USN, Provost, U.S. Naval War College (NWC) Dr. David Harries, Director, Waterpeople, Inc., Jakarta Prof. Bradd Hayes, DSD
Mr. Edward McDougal, Lehman 
Brothers
Ms. Smita Purushottam, Ministry of External Affairs of India Dr. Leif Rosenberger, Econ Adviser to CINC, U.S. Pacific Command Ms. Elisabeth E. Scheper, Head, E/SE Asia Dept, Netherlands Organization for Int'l Coop (Novib) Cdr. Carl Carlson, USN, Deputy Director, DSD
Mr. Jeffrey Goetz, Poten and Partners Mr. James Caverly, Deputy Director, Office of Science & Technology, Dept. of Energy Dr. James E. Auer, Dir., Center for U.S.-Japan Studies, Vanderbilt University Capt. Peter Swartz, USN (ret), Director, Regional Studies, Center for Naval Analyses Prof. Gregg Hoffman, DSD
Mr. Jeff Huang, Golden Calf Capital Mr. Guy F. Caruso, Exec Dir, Strat. Energy Initiative, Center for Strat. & Int'l Studies Dr. Peter Dombrowski, Strategic Research Department, NWC Mr. Russell Hayward, 
VP and CTO, 
Dynamic Strategies Asia
Ms. Lynda Miller, DSD
Mr. Thomas Cunningham, 
Emcor Group
Mr. Lucian Pugliaresi, President, LPI Consulting Inc. Mr. Mark Arens, U.S. Joint Forces Command, Department of Defense Mr. Mike Feeley, Sino-American Development Corporation X

V. Useful Background Links

Subject Matter

Hosts

If you could suggest other good sites, please contact Tom Barnett with the URLs.


VI. Administrative Details

Printable registration form to fax to Ms. Miller


VI. Short Bios of Select Participants 

James Auer
Dr. Auer is the Director of the Center for U.S.-Japan Studies and Cooperation at the Vanderbilt Institute for Public Policy Studies and Research Professor at Vanderbilt's School of Engineering. From April 1979 until September 1988, he served as Special Assistant for Japan in the Office of the Secretary of Defense. He served in the U.S. Navy from 1963 to 1983 in a number of positions, largely in Japan. He holds an BA from Marquette University and a PhD from the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy, Tufts University. His thesis, The Postwar Rearmament of Japanese Maritime Forces 1945-1971, was published in English by Praeger Publishers and in Japanese translation by the Jiji Press under the title Yomigaeru Nippon Kaigun.

Thomas BarnettThomas Barnett
Dr. Barnett is Professor and Senior Strategic Researcher at the Decision Strategies Department of the Center for Naval Warfare Studies.  Prior to joining the College, he served as Project Director for The CNA Corporation of Alexandria, Virginia, where he managed the USAID account.  His most recent work on the potential impact of the upcoming presidential election on U.S. military strategic planning, "Force Structure Will Change," appears in the October 2000 issue of the U.S. Naval Institute's Proceedings.  He has a BA in Russian Literature and U.S. Foreign Policy from the University of Wisconsin, and an MA in Eurasian Studies and a PhD in Government from Harvard University.

Cdr. Carl Carlson, USNCommander Carl Carlson, USN
Commander Carl G. Carlson has served the Naval War College, Newport, RI since December 1998 as the Assistant Director of the Decision Strategies Department. Prior, he was the Light Airborne Multi-purpose System surface combat system project team leader, and the surface combatant remote mine-hunting SQQ-89 ship integration coordinator on the staff of the Program Manager for Surface ASW Combat Systems in the Program Executive Office for Undersea Warfare. Cdr. Carlson has a BS in Systems Engineering from the U.S. Naval Academy, a MS in Operations Research from the Naval Post Graduate School, and a MA in Strategic Studies from the Naval War College. 

James Caverly
Jim Caverly is currently in the Deputy Director for National Security, Office of Science and Technology Policy at the Department of Energy (DOE) . He has been with the Department and its predecessor agencies for over 20 years, working on a broad range of energy related issues including energy security, domestic energy supply, nuclear safeguards and security, energy emergency response, and national security. He is a graduate of the University of Notre Dame and the Naval War College and served for three years as the DOE Chair on the faculty of the Industrial College of the Armed Forces (ICAF).

Vice Admiral Arthur Cebrowski, USNVice Admiral Arthur Cebrowski, USN
Vice Admiral Cebrowski became the 47th President, Naval War College in July 1998.  He had previously served as Director, Navy Space, Information Warfare, Command and Control.  Vice Admiral Cebrowski has commanded Fighter Squadron 41 and Carrier Air Wing EIGHT, both embarked in USS NIMITZ.  He later commanded the assault ship USS GUAM.  During Operation Desert Storm, he commanded the aircraft carrier USS MIDWAY.  Following promotion to flag rank, he became Commander, Carrier Group SIX and Commander, AMERICA Battle Group.  In addition to combat deployments to Vietnam and the Persian Gulf, he has deployed in support of United Nations operations in Iraq, Somalia and Bosnia.  Vice Admiral Cebrowski holds a Bachelor of Science degree in Mathematics from Villanova University and a Master of Science Degree in Computer Systems Management from the Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA.

Guy CarusoGuy F. Caruso
Guy Caruso is executive director of the Strategic Energy Intiative at the Center for Strategic and International Studies. During a 32-year career in the U.S. government, he served in various senior positions at the U.S. Department of Energy and the Central Intelligence Agency, all of which were related to energy policy, energy markets, or energy security. Caruso served two assignments with the International Energy Agency in Paris, France. Most recently he was the director responsible for developing energy cooperative programs with non-OECD countries with emphasis on Russia, China, and the Middle East. He holds B.S. and M.A. degrees from the University of Connecticut and an M.P.A. from Harvard University.

Thomas D. Cunningham
Mr. Cunningham currently serves as Executive Vice President of the Emcor Group Inc. of Norwalk CT.  He joined Emcor's Board (Audit and Compensation Committees) in January 1995 as company emerged from Chapter XI with new management team and new Board.  By 1997, EMCOR returned to profitability, revenue grew to $2.0B and decision was made to grow service side of business.  Joined EMCOR in 1997 as senior officer responsible for corporate growth and development, capital structure and administration. Previous senior positions include Executive Vice President and CFO of Swiss Army Brands, and Managing Director at J.P. Morgan.  Mr. Cunningham holds a BA in Economics from Harvard College and a MBA in Finance from Columbia University.

Peter DombrowskiPeter Dombrowski 
Dr. Dombrowki is an associate professor in the Strategic Research Department of the Naval War College.  Prior to this, he was an associate professor of political science at Iowa State University.  He has published research on international relations, global finance, foreign economic policy making and international assistance to the post-communist transition.  In 1996, the University of Pittsburgh Press published his book, Policy Responses to the Globalization of American Banks.  most recent articles is “The New Policy Challenges of Financial Services Globalization,” Policy Studies Review (forthcoming 2000).  He holds a BA degree from Williams College and an MA and Ph.D. from the University of Maryland. 

Adm. William Flanagan, USN (ret.)Admiral William Flanagan, USN (ret.)
"Bud" Flanagan is a Senior Managing Director at Cantor Fitzgerald LP, the world's largest broker of U.S. Government securities, Eurobonds, and sovereign debt.  The admiral's portfolio focuses on emerging markets, particularly those brought about by government deregulation and privatization.  He served in the U.S. Navy for 29 years, his final position being Commander-in-Chief of the U.S. Atlantic Fleet from 1994-96, with geographic responsibilities for the entire Western Hemisphere and all of West Europe.  Adm. Flanagan is a graduate of the Massachusetts Maritime Academy, and holds a BS in Maritime Transport and an MA in Political Science from American University.

Philip GinsbergPhilip Ginsberg
Dr. Ginsberg is an Executive Vice President at Cantor Fitzgerald, the world's largest broker of U.S. Government securities, Eurobonds, and sovereign debt.  He is also Vice President of the Cantor Fitzgerald Foundation and Director of Cantor Fitzgerald International.  Prior to this, Dr. Ginsberg served as a consultant to both industry and government, and held academic postings at the University of Washington, Rutgers University, and Northwestern University's Kellogg School of Management.  He also founded the Llorex Corporation, which specialized in financial information products.  He has a BA in Mathematics from Cornell University, and an MA and PhD in Economics from Purdue University.

David Harries
David Harries moved to Asia in 1995 to work as a strategic analyst. He is currently, among other things, director of Waterpeople, Inc., a Canadian-Indonesian joint venture in consulting, testing, treatment, management and protection of water.  Since 1995 he has advised institutions and businesses on competency, transparency and how to analyze and exploit strategic implications of current events, trends and personalities in Asia. After primary education in Canada and England and military college, he completed Ph.D studies in nuclear engineering in the UK. He is a graduate of several civilian and military institutions. As a military officer, he served in operational national, continental, NATO and United Nations positions in airborne, combat engineer, peacekeeping and development settings. 

Bradd HayesBradd Hayes
Professor Bradd C. Hayes is a Senior Strategic Researcher in the Decision Strategies Department of the Center for Naval Warfare Studies, US Naval War College. He has been a member of the faculty since August 1992, previously serving as Assistant Director of the Strategic Research Department. Prior to that, he was the Strategy and Policy Officer for the Commander in Chief, US Naval Forces Europe. Previous appointments included command of Helicopter Anti-Submarine Squadron Six aboard USS Enterprise, followed by a tour as a Federal Executive Fellow with the RAND Corporation, culminating with the publication of a RAND Note entitled, Naval Rules of Engagement: Management Tools for Crisis.

Russell HaywardRussell Hayward
Mr. Hayward serves as Vice President and Chief Technology Officer for Dynamic Strategies Asia, LC, where he specializes in U.S.-Japan trade issues, economic policies, and technology developments in Asia. He has traveled widely in the region and served for two years as an economic analyst in the U.S. Embassy in Tokyo. As Chief of Emerging Technologies at the CIA and a Senior Analyst on East Asia, Mr. Hayward conducted many briefings for senior U.S. officials. He served as Director of Policy Planning for Japan in the Office of the United States Trade Representative in the early 1990s and worked closely with U.S. negotiators on the satellites, auto parts, insurance, and supercomputers issues. He holds a B.A. and an M.A. in Economics from the University of Maine.

Gregg HoffmanGregg Hoffman
Prof. Hoffman currently serves in the U.S. Naval War College's Decision Strategies Department, where he helped design and set up the original Decision Strategies Center.  Since the beginning of operations in October 1995, he's been responsible for DSD technical operations, including LANs, display capabilities, and VTC; instrumental in designing and equipping new DSC in McCarty Little Hall.  Prior Experience: 23 years in USN, Interior Communications Chief /Surface Warfare (Ret.), served at United States Naval War College as multimedia coordinator (92-96), commissioned the lead ship in the class, USS Wasp (LHD-1) serving as leading chief of Electrical Division of the Engineering Department (88-92), and served at Presidential Retreat Camp David as the Classified Maintenance Chief of electronic security (83-88).

Gary HufbauerGary C. Hufbauer
Dr. Hufbauer is currently the Reginald Jones Senior Fellow at the Institute for International Economics.  Prior to this, he served as the Marcus Wallenberg Professor of International Finance Diplomacy at Georgetown University (1985–92), Deputy Director of the International Law Institute at Georgetown University (1979–81); Deputy Assistant Secretary for International Trade and Investment Policy of the US Treasury (1977–79); and Director of the International Tax Staff at the Treasury (1974–76). He has written extensively on international trade, investment, and tax issues.

Rear Admiral Michael McDevitt, USN (ret)Rear Admiral Michael McDevitt, USN (ret.)
As the Director of Project Asia and the Center for Strategic Studies at The CNA Corporation of Alexandria, VA, Rear Admiral McDevitt is a specialist in East Asian Security Policy.  His active duty background includes the following positions: Commandant of the National War College, Director for Strategy, Policy and Plans for the Commander in Chief, U.S. Pacific Command, Director of the East Asia Policy Division, ISA, Office of Secretary of Defense, and Director of the CNO Executive Panel and Director of Navy Long-Range Planning (OP-00K).  Rear Admiral McDevitt is a graduate of the National War College, and holds a BA from the University of Southern California in History and an MA from Georgetown University in American Diplomatic History.

Rear Admiral Barbara McGann, USNRear Admiral Barbara McGann, USN
In September 2000, Rear Admiral McGann assumed duties as Provost, Naval War College.  After graduation from the Naval War College in November 1983, she served as a special assistant to the Secretary of the Navy for Manpower and Reserve Affairs.  In June 1994, Rear Admiral McGann assumed the duties of Assistant Chief of Naval Personnel for Total Force Programming and Manpower.  She became Commander, Navy Recruiting Command in September 1996.   Rear Admiral McGann holds a Master of Science Degree in Business Administration from Salve Regina University, Newport, Rhode Island, and a Master of Arts Degree in Foreign Affairs from Georgetown University, Washington, D. C.

Lawrence ModisettLawrence E. Modisett
Dr. Modisett is Director of the Decision Strategies Department of the Center for Naval Warfare Studies.  In this capacity he oversees and participates in a wide variety of national security studies.  Dr. Modisett's fields of expertise include international affairs, national security issues, and Russia and Eastern Europe.  His prior government service includes a 19-year career as Analyst and Manager at the Central Intelligence Agency, and a three-year stint in the U.S. Information Agency as a member of the Foreign Service.  He has a BA in English from Ohio Wesleyan University, and an MS in Foreign Service and a PhD in History from Georgetown University.

Charles NemfakosCharles Nemfakos
Mr. Nemfakos graduated from the Pan American University in 1964 with a BA in History. He later entered the Department of the Navy in 1966. In 1994 he assumed the position of Deputy Assistant Secretary of the Navy (Installations and Environment). In that capacity, he was responsible for force basing and infrastructure requirements analysis and policy determinations with primary responsibility for the Department’s base closures.  In 1995 Mr. Nemfakos was designated as the Deputy Under Secretary of the Navy with broad responsibilities in providing executive level continuity in areas of institutional management and strategic planning. In addition, in 1998 he was designated Senior Civilian Official for the Office of the Assistant Secretary of the Navy for Financial Management and Comptroller (ASN (FM&C).

Minxin PeiMinxin Pei
Minxin Pei’s research covers a wide range of subjects: Chinese politics, economic reform, East Asian politics, U.S. relations with East Asian countries, and democratization in developing countries. He has published extensively on these topics. Before joining the Endowment, Minxin Pei was a faculty member in the Politics Department at Princeton University and had received numerous prestigious awards and fellowships, including the Olin Faculty Fellowship, the National Fellowship at Hoover Institution, the Robert S. MacNamara Fellowship of the World Bank, and the LaPorte Preceptorship at Princeton University. He holds a doctorate in political science from Harvard University. His current research project is the politics of legal reform in China.

John Pike
Mr. Pike is currently Director of Zentrale Asset Management Investment Research at the Zentral Commerzbank AG, Frankfurt.  In this position he oversees work in five countries on the following topics: transformation management and internationalization, research product development, marketing support in Europe, Japan and South America.  Assets under management are currently estimated at US$ 140 billion.  Previous positions include: Managing Director, Towa International Ltd. (Sanwa Bank Group), London; General Manager Sales and Trading, NKK Securities (DAi-Ichi Kangyo Bank), London; and Deputy Chairman, Nippon Warrant Fund (SICAV), Luxembourg.  Mr. Pike holds a BA in Philosophy, Politics and Economics from Oxford University.   

Jonathan PollackJonathan Pollack
Effective October 1, 2000, Dr. Pollack will become Professor of Asian and Pacific Studies and Director of the Strategic Research Department at the Naval War College.  A specialist on East Asian political and strategic affairs, Prof. Pollack was previously affiliated with RAND in Santa Monica, California, where he served in a wide array of research and management capacities over the past two decades.  He received his M.A. and Ph.D. from the University of Michigan and was a Postdoctoral Scholar at Harvard University.  He has also taught at Brandeis University, UCLA, and the RAND Graduate School of Policy Studies.   He is a member of the Council on Foreign Relations, the International Institute for Strategic Studies, and the Committee on International Security and Arms Control of the National Academy of Sciences. 

Lucian Pugliaresi
Mr. Pugliaresi is currently President of LPI Consulting, Inc., a consulting firm providing representation and advisory services to energy (largely petroleum) and high technology  firms. LPI Consulting has offices in Washington and Moscow and is active in a wide range of commercial projects in the former Soviet Union, Eastern Europe, Asia and the Middle East.  Prior to beginning private practice, Mr. Pugliaresi served in the U.S. Government at the U.S. Departments of Interior and Energy, Environmental Protection Agency, U.S. Department of State, and as Director for International Economic Affairs and as Director of International Technology Affairs at the National Security Council in the White House between 1984 and 1987.  Mr. Pugliaresi is a graduate of the University of California at Berkeley.  

Smita PurushottamSmita Purushottam
Currently serving in the Ministry of External Affairs of the Government of India.  Until recently, Ms. Purushottam has been director for her Ministry of the South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC).  Previously she had been director for the Eastern European division in New Dehli.  As a Weatherhead Fellow at the Center for International Affairs at Harvard University, she is assessing the future direction of the Indian economy by conducting an empirical study on its recent liberalization and the process of its integration with major regional economies and the global economy.

Leif Rosenberger
Dr. Rosenberger is the Economic Advisor to Admiral Blair, Commander-in-Chief, U.S. Pacific Command. In addition, he supports the J2 and JICPAC as the Command’s chief economic intelligence analyst.  Before coming to CINCPAC in 1998, Dr. Rosenberger was Professor of Economics for 10 years at the US Army War College. Dr. Rosenberger has also worked in the Strategic Studies Institute at the US Army War College. In addition, he was a Soviet foreign policy/Asian analyst at CIA and a defense economist at DIA. Dr. Rosenberger is a 1989 graduate of the US Army War College, where he was a winner of the student writing award. He holds a Ph.D. from Claremont Graduate School, a Masters from Boston University and a BA from Harvard University, where he was the only two-sport, six letter winning athlete to graduate with honors in 1972. 

Elisabeth ScheperElisabeth Scheper
Ms. Scheper, has been head, for the past ten years, of the East and Southeast Asia Department of the Netherlands Organization for International Cooperation (Novib).  For four years before coming to Novib she worked as a deputy resident representative in Kathmandu with the Netherlands Development Organization.  As a Weatherhead Fellow at the Center for International Affairs at Harvard, she is carrying out research on how best to promote a rights-based approach to building a global society.  

Capt. Peter Swartz, USN (ret)Capt. Peter Swartz, USN (ret.)
Peter Swartz is Director of the International Affairs Group in The CNA Corporation's new Center for Strategic Studies. He came to the corporation in 1993 following a career in the U.S. Navy, where he helped author the Navy's Maritime Strategy of the 1980s.. He also served as a Fellow at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, Director of Defense Operations at the U.S. Mission to NATO, and Special Assistant to the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff. He holds a BA from Brown University, an MA from the Johns Hopkins University Nitze School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS), and an MPhil from Colombia University.