Home       Articles / Books    Projects     Barnett Consulting     Weblog


U.S. Naval War College
Year 2000 International Security Dimension Project


GroupSystems Inputs for
Y2K Scenario-Dynamics Workshop



  Held at the Pell Center, Salve Regina University, Newport RI, 13-15 January 1999


Slide: The M Curve of Opinion Leader Influence Over the Y2K Event

Sections of GroupSystems Inputs
 

I. Y2K Mania Phase E-Mails to a Top Policy Adviser of the Leader of Country X
II. Y2K Countdown Phase E-Mails . . .
III. Y2K Onset Phase E-Mails . . . 
IV. Y2K Unfolding Phase E-Mails . . .
V. Y2K Peak Phase E-Mails . . .
VI. Y2K Exit Phase E-Mails . . .
VII. Malevolent Acts During Y2K Event and Defenses To Take Against Them
VIII. "You Make the Call!" on Y2K by Region


 

Slide: Y2K Themes and Linkage Issues by Scenario Phase