ARTICLE: "Handicapping With Optimism," by Benedict Carey, New York Times, 1 May 2007, p. A21.
The more optimistic candidate wins 80 percent of the time since 1900.
A measuring system from academics says Hillary is most optimistic (the Bill influence), then Obama. McCain, Romney, Edwards and Giuliani.
But frankly she's the only one who skews heavy to optimism.
Not sure on how they measure (based on words uttered versus delivery), because I think Rudy and Barack deliver optimistically, as does Romney, even if words don't indicate as much.
Still, I'm a big believer on this--naturally.
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Comments (1)
I've been saying this for ages. I'm glad to see some candidates picking up the point. It makes perfect sense, too. If the candidate doesn't act as though things will get better after he or she is elected, why should the voters think any differently?
Posted by stuart abrams | May 5, 2007 10:40 AM