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   <title>Thomas P.M. Barnett :: Weblog</title>
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   <id>tag:www.thomaspmbarnett.com,2008:/weblog/1</id>
   <updated>2008-05-17T12:26:29Z</updated>
   <subtitle>Senior Managing Director, Enterra Solutions
This is my personal weblog. As such, the views expressed here are my own.</subtitle>
   <generator uri="http://www.sixapart.com/movabletype/">Movable Type 3.31</generator>

<entry>
   <title>Why Japan continues to make itself less than the sum of its economic parts</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.thomaspmbarnett.com/weblog/2008/05/why_japan_continues_to_make_it.html" />
   <id>tag:www.thomaspmbarnett.com,2008:/weblog//1.6638</id>
   
   <published>2008-05-17T12:30:35Z</published>
   <updated>2008-05-17T12:26:29Z</updated>
   
   <summary> ARTICLE: &quot;Japan&apos;s Companies Gird for Attack: Fearing Takeovers, They Rebuild Walls; Rise of Poison Pills,&quot; by Andrew Morse and Sebastian Moffett, Wall Street Journal, 30 April 2008, p. A1. Maybe Murdoch didn&apos;t bank sub-titles after all! Japan&apos;s companies are...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>Thomas P.M. Barnett</name>
      
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      <![CDATA[<blockquote>
ARTICLE:  "Japan's Companies Gird for Attack:  Fearing Takeovers, They Rebuild Walls; Rise of Poison Pills," by Andrew Morse and Sebastian Moffett, <i>Wall Street Journal</i>, 30 April 2008, p. A1.
</blockquote> 

Maybe Murdoch didn't bank sub-titles after all! 

Japan's companies are good targets for takeovers, so the walls go up.  Better for Japan to stay Japanese than improve. 

This is why Japan remains unimportant and un-influential in global affairs:  it can't embrace such roles because it cannot embrace the world.  Compare this to a China that lets outside multinationals control two-thirds of its exports.]]>
      
   </content>
</entry>
<entry>
   <title>Seismic diversion</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.thomaspmbarnett.com/weblog/2008/05/seismic_diversion.html" />
   <id>tag:www.thomaspmbarnett.com,2008:/weblog//1.6641</id>
   
   <published>2008-05-17T12:15:57Z</published>
   <updated>2008-05-17T12:26:29Z</updated>
   
   <summary>ARTICLE: Quake in China Kills Thousands, By Jill Drew, Washington Post, May 13, 2008; Page A01 Quake in China will be, sad to say, great diversion from Myanmar and Tibet in terms of China&apos;s national PR right now. Clearly, given...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>Thomas P.M. Barnett</name>
      
   </author>
   
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.thomaspmbarnett.com/weblog/">
      <![CDATA[<blockquote>ARTICLE: <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/05/12/AR2008051200122.html">Quake in China Kills Thousands</a>, By Jill Drew, <em>Washington Post</em>, May 13, 2008; Page A01</blockquote>

Quake in China will be, sad to say, great diversion from Myanmar and Tibet in terms of China's national PR right now.  Clearly, given the high-viz response, Beijing's leaders feel need to demonstrate competency relative to junta down south.
]]>
      
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</entry>
<entry>
   <title>The current bibliography (books only) of &quot;Great Powers&quot;</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.thomaspmbarnett.com/weblog/2008/05/the_current_bibliography_books.html" />
   <id>tag:www.thomaspmbarnett.com,2008:/weblog//1.6640</id>
   
   <published>2008-05-17T02:02:29Z</published>
   <updated>2008-05-17T12:25:59Z</updated>
   
   <summary>Dean Acheson, Present at the Creation: My Years in the State Department (New York: W.W. Norton &amp; Company, 1987), pp. . Giovanni Arrighi, Adam Smith in Beijing: Lineages of the Twenty-First Century (New York: Verso, 2007), pp. . George B.N....</summary>
   <author>
      <name>Thomas P.M. Barnett</name>
      
   </author>
   
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.thomaspmbarnett.com/weblog/">
      <![CDATA[Dean Acheson, <em>Present at the Creation:  My Years in the State Department</em> (New York:  W.W. Norton & Company, 1987), pp. .

Giovanni Arrighi, <em>Adam Smith in Beijing:  Lineages of the Twenty-First Century</em> (New York:  Verso, 2007), pp. .

George B.N. Ayittey, <em>Africa Unchained:  The Blueprint for Africa’s Future</em> (New York:  Palgrave MacMillan, 2005), pp. .

James A. Baker III, <em>“Work Hard, Study, and Keep Out of Politics!”:  Adventures and Lessons from an Unexpected Public Life</em> (New York:  G.P. Putnam’s Sons, 2006), pp. .

William J. Baumol, Robert E. Litan and Carl J. Schramm, <em>Good Capitalism, Bad Capitalism, and the Economics of Growth and Prosperity</em> (New Haven CT:  Yale University Press, 2007), pp. .

Maurice G. Baxter, <em>Henry Clay and the American System</em> (Lexington KY:  University Press of Kentucky, 2004), pp. .

James C. Bennett, <em>The Anglosphere Challenge: Why the English-Speaking Nations Will Lead the Way in the Twenty-First Century</em> (Lanham MD:  Rowman & Littlefield Publishers, 2004), pp. .

Hans Binnendijk and Richard L. Kugler, <em>Seeing the Elephant:  The U.S. Role in Global Security</em> (Washington DC:  Potomac Books, 2006), pp. .

James R. Blaker, <em>Transforming Military Force:  The Legacy of Arthur Cebrowski and Network Centric Warfare</em> (Westport CT:  Praeger Security International, 2007), pp. .

Tim Blanning, <em>The Pursuit of Glory:  Europe 1648-1815</em> (New York:  Viking, 2007), pp..

K. Bogdanova, <em>Ten Russian Poets:  A Russian Reader with Explanatory Notes in English</em> (Moscow:  Russian Language Publishers, 1979), pp. 113-14.

Max Boot, <em>The Savage Wars of Peace:  Small Wars and the Rise of American Power</em> (New York:  Basic Books, 2002), pp. .

Elizabeth Borgwardt, <em>A New Deal for the World:  America’s Vision for Human Rights</em> (Cambridge MA:  Belknap Press, 2005), pp. .

Ori Brafman and Rod A. Beckstrom, <em>The Starfish and the Spider:  The Unstoppable Power of Leaderless Organizations</em> (New York:  Portfolio, 2006), pp. .

Lael Brainard (editor), <em>Security By Other Means:  Foreign Assistance, Global Poverty, and American Leadership</em> (Washington DC:  Brookings Institution Press, 2007), pp. .

Ian Bremmer, <em>The J Curve:  A New Way to Understand Why Nations Rise and Fall</em> (New York:  Simon & Schuster, 2006), pp. .

Harry G. Broadman, <em>Africa’s Silk Road:  China and India’s New Economic Frontier</em> (Washington DC:  The World Bank, 2007), pp. .

Ronald Brownstein, <em>The Second Civil War:  How Extreme Partisanship Has Paralyzed Washington and Polarized America</em> (New York:  Penguin Press, 2007), pp. .

Stephen Burman, <em>The State of the American Empire:  How the USA Shapes the World</em> (Brighton UK:  Earthscan, 2007), pp. .

Iain Carson and Vijay V. Vaitheeswaran, <em>Zoom:  The Global Race to Fuel the Car of the Future</em> (New York:  Twelve, 2007), pp. .

Nayan Chanda, <em>Bound Together:  How Traders, Preachers, Adventurers, and Warriors Shaped Globalization</em> (New Haven CT:  Yale University Press, 2007), pp. .

Rajiv Chandrasekaran, <em>Imperial Life in the Emerald City:  Inside Iraq’s Green Zone</em> (New York:  Vintage Books, 2007), pp. .

Ron Chernow, <em>Alexander Hamilton</em> (New York:  Penguin Press, 2004), pp. .

Gregory Clark, <em>A Farewell to Alms:  A Brief Economic History of the World</em> (Princeton NJ:  Princeton University Press, 2007), pp. .

Kendrick A. Clements, <em>Woodrow Wilson:  World Stateman</em> (Chicago:  Ivan R. Dee, 1999), pp. .

Paul Collier, <em>The Bottom Billion:  Why the Poorest Countries Are Failing and What Can Be Done About It</em> (New York:  Oxford University Press, 2007), pp. .

Robert Coram, <em>Boyd:  The Fighter Pilot Who Changed the Art of War</em> (New York:  Back Bay Books, 2002), pp. .

Gwyneth Cravens, <em>Power to Save the World:  The Truth About Nuclear Energy</em> (New York:  Alfred A. Knopf, 2007), pp. .

Karen DeYoung, <em>Soldier:  The Life of Colin Powell</em> (New York:  Alfred A. Knopf, 2006), pp. .

Jared Diamond, <em>Collapse:  How Societies Choose to Fail or Succeed</em> (New York:  Viking, 2005), pp. .

Philip K. Dick, <em>Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep?</em> (New York:  Ballantine Books, 1982), pp. .

Peter F. Drucker, <em>The Essential Drucker:  The Best of Sixty Years of Peter Drucker’s Essential Writings on Management</em> (New York:  HarperCollins, 2001), pp. .

William Easterly, <em>The White Man’s Burden:  Why the West’s Efforts to Aid the Rest Have Done So Much Ill and So Little Good</em> (New York:  Penguin Press, 2006), pp. .

Elizabeth C. Economy, <em>The River Runs Black:  The Environmental Challenge to China’s Future</em> (Ithaca NY:  Cornell University Press, 2004), pp. .

Juan Enriquez, <em>As the Future Catches You:  How Genomics & Other Forces Are Changing Your Life, Work, Health & Wealth</em> (New York:  Crown Publishers, 2001), pp. .

Juan Enriquez, <em>The Untied States of America:  Polarization, Fracturing, and Our Future</em> (New York: Crown Publishers, 2005), pp. .

Susan Faludi, <em>The Terror Dream:  Fear and Fantasy in Post-9/11 America</em> (New York:  Metropolitan Books, 2007), pp. .

Douglas J. Feith, <em>War and Decision:  Inside the Pentagon at the Dawn of the War on Terrorism</em> (New York:  Harper, 2008), pp. .

Benjamin M. Friedman, <em>The Moral Consequences of Economic Growth</em> (New York:  Vintage Books, 2005), pp. .

Thomas L. Friedman, <em>The Lexus and the Olive Tree</em> (New York:  Random House, 1999), pp. .

Thomas L. Friedman, <em>The World Is Flat:  A Brief History of the Twenty-First Century</em> (New York: Farrar, Straus and Giroux, 2005), pp. .

Erich Fromm, <em>Escape From Freedom</em> (New York:  Henry Holt and Company, 1994), pp..

Francis Fukuyama, <em>State-Building:  Governance and World Order in the 21st Century</em> (Ithaca NY:  Cornell University Press, 2004), pp. .

Francis Fukuyama (editor), <em>Nation-Building:  Beyond Afghanistan and Iraq</em> (Baltimore MD:  Johns Hopkins University Press, 2006), pp. .

David Galula, <em>Counterinsurgency Warfare:  Theory and Practice</em> (New York:  Frederick A. Praeger, 2005), pp. .

Ali Gheissari and Vali Nasr, <em>Democracy in Iran:  History and the Quest for Liberty</em> (New York:  Oxford University Press, 2006), pp. .

Dan Gillmor, <em>We the Media:  Grassroots Journalism by the People, for the People</em> (Sebastopol CA:  O’Reilly, 2004), pp. .

Misha Glenny, <em>McMafia:  A Journey Through the Global Criminal Underworld</em> (New York:  Alfred A. Knopf, 2008), pp. .

Doris Kearns Goodwin, <em>Team of Rivals:  The Political Genius of Abraham Lincoln</em> (New York:  Simon & Schuster, 2005), pp. .

Richard N. Haass, <em>The Opportunity:  America’s Moment To Alter History’s Course</em> (New York:  Public Affairs, 2005), pp. .

Morton H. Halperin, Joseph T. Siegle and Michael M. Weinstein, <em>The Democracy Advantage:  How Democracies Promote Prosperity and Peace</em> (New York:  Routledge, 2005), pp. .

Paul Hawken, Amory Lovins, L. Hunter Lovins, <em>Natural Capitalism:  Creating the Next Industrial Revolution</em> (Boston:  Little, Brown and Company, 1999), pp. .

Chip Heath and Dan Heath, <em>Made to Stick:  Why Some Ideas Survive and Others Die</em> (New York:  Random House, 2007), pp. .

Daniel Walker Howe, <em>What Hath God Wrought:  The Transformation of America, 1815-1848</em> (New York:  Oxford University Press, 2007), pp. .

Frans Johansson, <em>The Medici Effect:  What Elephants & Epidemics Can Teach Us About Innovation</em> (Cambridge MA:  Harvard Business School Press, 2006), pp. .

Robert Kagan, <em>Dangerous Nation:  America’s Place in the World From Its Earliest Days to the Dawn of the Twentieth Century</em> (New York:  Alfred A. Knopf, 2006), pp. .

Robert Kagan, <em>The Return of History and the End of Dreams</em> (New York:  Alfred A. Knopf, 2008), pp. .

John Kao, <em>Jamming:  The Art and Discipline of Business Creativity</em> (New York:  Harper Business, 1996), pp. .

Robert D. Kaplan, <em>Imperial Grunts:  The American Military on the Ground</em> (New York:  Random House, 2005), pp. .

George F. Kennan, <em>Memoirs, 1925-1950</em> (Boston:  Little, Brown and Company, 1967), pp. .

George Kennan, “The Sources of Soviet Conduct,” in Hamilton Fish Armstrong, editor, <em>Fifty Years of Foreign Affairs</em> (New York:  Praeger Publishers, 1972), pp. 188-205.

Robert O. Keohane and Joseph S. Nye, <em>Power and Interdependence:  World Politics in Transition</em> (Boston:  Little, Brown and Company, 1977), pp. .

John Maynard Keynes, <em>The Economic Consequences of the Peace</em> (New York:  BiblioBazaar, 2007), pp. .

Parag Khanna, <em>The Second World:  Empires and Influence in the New Global Order</em> (New York:  Random House, 2008), pp. .

Henry Kissinger, <em>White House Years</em> (Boston:  Little, Brown and Company, 1979), pp. .

Michael T. Klare, <em>Rising Power and Shrinking Planet:  The New Geopolitics of Energy</em> (New York:  Metropolitan Books, 2008), pp. .

Alan B. Krueger, <em>What Makes a Terrorist:  Economics and the Roots of Terrorism</em> (Princeton NJ:  Princeton University Press, 2007), pp. .

Fred Krupp and Miriam Horn, <em>Earth:  The Sequel:  The Race to Reinvent Energy and Stop Global Warming</em> (New York:  W.W. Norton & Co., 2008), pp. .

Bruce Kuklick:  <em>Blind Oracles:  Intellectuals and War From Kennan to Kissinger</em> (Princeton NJ:  Princeton University Press, 2006), pp. .

Joshua Kurlantzick, <em>Charm Offensive:  How China’s Soft Power Is Transforming the World</em> (New Haven CT:  Yale University Press, 2007), pp. .

James Kynge, <em>China Shakes the World:  A Titan’s Rise and Troubled Future—and the Challenge for America</em> (Boston:  Houghton Mifflin Company, 2006), pp. .

Mark Lilla, <em>The Stillborn God:  Religion, Politics and the Modern West</em> (New York:  Alfred A. Knopf, 2007), pp. .

George Lodge and Craig Wilson, <em>A Corporate Solution to Global Poverty:  How Multinationals Can Help the Poor and Invigorate Their Own Legitimacy</em> (Princeton NJ:  Princeton University Pres, 2006), pp. .

Bjorn Lomborg, <em>Cool It:  The Skeptical Environmentalist’s Guide to Global Warming</em> (New York:  Alfred A. Knopf, 2007), pp. .

Amory Lovins et al, <em>Winning the Oil Endgame:  Innovation for Profits, Jobs, and Security</em> (Snowmass CO:  Rocky Mountain Institute, 2007), pp. .

Edward Luce, <em>In Spite of the Gods:  The Strange Rise of Modern India</em> (New York:  Doubleday, 2007), pp. .

Margaret Macmillan, <em>Nixon and Mao:  The Week That Changed the World</em> (New York:  Random House, 2007), pp. .

David McCullough, <em>Truman</em> (New York:  Simon & Schuster, 1992), pp. .

Alfred Thayer Mahan, <em>The Influence of Sea Power upon History, 1660-1805</em> [Introduction by Antony Preston] (New York:  Gallery Books, 1980), pp. .

Burton G. Malkiel and Patricia A. Taylor, <em>From Wall Street to the Great Wall:  How Investors Can Profit from China’s Booming Economy</em> (New York:  W.W. Norton & Company, 2008), pp. .

James Mann, <em>The China Fantasy:  How Our Leaders Explain Away Chinese Repression</em> (New York:  Viking, 2007), pp. .

Greil Marcus, <em>The Shape of Things to Come:  Prophecy and the American Voice</em> (New York:  Farrar, Straus and Giroux, 2006), pp. . 

Michael E. Marti, <em>China and the Legacy of Deng Xiaoping:  From Communist Revolution to Capitalist Evolution</em> (Washington DC:  Brassey’s, 2002), pp. .

Walter Russell Mead, <em>God and Gold:  Britain, America, and the Making of the Modern World</em> (New York:  Alfred A. Knopf, 2007), pp. .

Edmund Morris, <em>The Rise of Theodore Roosevelt</em> (New York:  Modern Library, 2001), pp. .

Edmund Morris, <em>Theodore Rex</em> (New York:  Modern Library, 2001), pp. .

Ricardo S. Morse, Terry F. Buss, and C. Morgan Kinghorn (editors), <em>Transforming Public Leadership for the 21st Century</em> (Armonk NY:  M.E. Sharpe, 2007), pp. .

John A. Nagl, <em>Learning to Eat Soup with a Knife:  Counterinsurgency Lessons from Malaya and Vietnam</em> (Chicago:  University of Chicago Press, 2005), pp. .

Vali Nasr, <em>The Shia Revival:  How Conflicts within Islam Will Shape the Future</em> (New York:  W.W. Norton & Company, 2006), pp. .

Richard Nixon, <em>RN:  The Memoirs of Richard Nixon</em> (New York:  Simon & Schuster, 1990), pp. .

Michael B. Oren, <em>Power, Faith, and Fantasy:  American in the Middle East, 1776 to the Present</em> (New York:  W.W. Norton & Company, 2007), pp. .

George Packer, <em>The Assassins’ Gate:  America in Iraq</em> (New York:  Farrar, Straus and Giroux, 2005), pp. .

Robert Young Pelton, <em>Licensed to Kill:  Hired Guns in the War on Terror</em> (New York:  Crown Publishers, 2006), pp. .

C.K. Prahalad, <em>The Fortune at the Bottom of the Pyramid:  Eradicating Poverty Through Profits</em> (Upper Saddle River NJ:  Wharton School Publishing, 2005), pp. .

Stephen Prothero, <em>Religious Literacy:  What Every American Needs to Know—And Doesn’t</em> (New York:  Harper One, 2007), pp. .

Ahmed Rashid, <em>Taliban:  Militant Islam, Oil and Fundamentalism in Central Asia</em> (New Haven CT:  Yale Nota Bene, 2001), pp. .

Ahmed Rashid, <em>Jihad:  The Rise of Militant Islam in Central Asia</em> (New York:  Penguin Books, 2003), pp. .

Glenn Reynolds, <em>An Army of Davids:  How Markets and Technology Empower Ordinary People to Beat Big Media, Big Government and Other Goliaths</em> (Nashville TN:  Thomas Nelson, 2006), pp. .

Heather Cox Richardson, <em>West from Appomattox:  The Reconstruction of America after the Civil War</em> (New Haven CT:  Yale University Press, 2007), pp. .

Thomas E. Ricks, <em>Fiasco:  The American Military Adventure in Iraq</em> (New York:  Penguin Books, 2007), pp. . 

T. R. Reid, <em>Confucius Lives Next Door:  What Living in the East Teaches Us About Living in the West</em> (New York:  Vintage Books, 2000), pp. .

Chet Richards, <em>Neither Shall the Sword:  Conflict in the Years Ahead</em> (Washington DC:  Center for Defense Information, 2005), pp. .

John Robb, <em>Brave New War:  The Next Stage of Terrorism and the End of Globalization</em> (Hoboken NJ:  John Wiley & Sons, 2007), pp. .

David Rothkopf, <em>Superclass:  The Global Power Elite and the World They Are Making</em> (New York:  Farrar, Straus and Giroux, 2008), pp. .

Olivier Roy, <em>Secularism Confronts Islam</em> (New York:  Columbia University Press, 2007), pp. .

Jeffrey D. Sachs, <em>The End of Poverty:  Economic Possibilities For Our Time</em> (New York:  Penguin Press, 2005), pp. .

Jeffrey D. Sachs, <em>Common Wealth:  Economics For a Crowded Planet</em> (New York:  Penguin Press, 2008), pp. .

Carl Sandburg, <em>Abraham Lincoln:  The Prairie Years and the War Years</em> (New York:  Harcourt, Brace and Company, 1954), pp. .

Charlie Savage, <em>Takeover:  The Return of the Imperial Presidency and the Subversion of American Democracy</em> (New York:  Little, Brown and Company, 2007), pp. .

Robert J. Schapiro, <em>Futurecast:  How Superpowers, Populations, and Globalization Will Change the Way You Live and Work</em> (New York:  St. Martin’s Press, 2008), pp. .

Peter Schwartz, <em>The Art of the Long View:  Planning for the Future in an Uncertain World</em> (New York:  Doubleday, 1991), pp. .

Robert Skidelsky, <em>John Maynard Keynes, 1883-1946:  Economist, Philosopher, Statesman</em> (New York:  Penguin Books, 2005), pp. .

James Surowiecki, <em>The Wisdom Of Crowds:  Why the Many Are Smarter than the Few and How Collective Wisdom Shapes Business, Economies, Societies, and Nations</em> (New York:  Doubleday, 2004), pp. . 

Strobe Talbott, <em>The Great Experiment:  The Story of Ancient Empires, Modern States, and the Quest for a Global Nation</em> (New York:  Simon & Schuster, 2008), pp. .

Nassim Nicholas Taleb, <em>The Black Swan:  The Impact of the Highly Improbable</em> (New York:  Random House, 2007), pp. .

Don Tapscott, <em>Wikinomics:  How Mass Collaboration Changes Everything</em> (New York:  Portfolio, 2006), pp. .

Barrett Tillman, <em>What We Need:  Extravagance and Shortages in America’s Military</em> (St. Paul MN:  Zenith Press, 2007), pp. .

Adam B. Ulam, <em>Expansion and Coexistence:  Soviet Foreign Policy 1917-1973</em> (New York:  Praeger Publishers, 1974), pp. .

Adam B. Ulam, <em>Understanding the Cold War:  A Historian’s Personal Reflections</em> (Charlottesville VA:  Leopolis Press, 2000), pp. .

<em>The U.S. Army/Marine Corps, Counterinsurgency Field Manual</em> (Chicago:  University of Chicago Press, 2007), pp. .

United States Marine Corps, <em>Small Wars Manual 1940</em> (Manhattan KS:  Sunflower University Press, 2004), pp. .

J. Craig Venter, <em>A Life Decoded:  My Genome:  My Life</em> (New York:  Viking, 2007), pp. .

Jim Wallis, <em>The Great Awakening:  Reviving Faith and Politics in a Post-Religious Right America</em> (New York:  Harper One, 2008), pp. .

Margaret Walsh, <em>The American West:  Visions and Revisions</em> (Cambridge UK:  Cambridge University Press, 2005), pp. .

Sheng-Wei Wang, <em>China’s Ascendancy:  An Opportunity Or a Threat?  What Every American Should Know About China</em> (Washington DC:  International Publishing House for China’s Culture, 2007), pp. .

Nicholas Wapshott, <em>Ronald Reagan and Margaret Thatcher:  A Political Marriage</em> (New York:  Sentinel, 2007), pp. .

H.G. Wells, <em>The Shape of Things to Come</em> (New York:  Penguin Books, 2005), pp. .

Jay Winik, <em>The Great Upheaval:  America and the Birth of the Modern World, 1788-1800</em> (New York:  Harper Collins, 2007), pp. .

Robin Wright, <em>Dreams & Shadows:  The Future of the Middle East</em> (New York:  Penguin Press, 2008), pp. .

Bill Yenne, <em>Indian Wars:  The Campaign for the American West</em> (Yardley PA:  Westholme, 2006), pp. .

Fareed Zakaria, <em>The Post-American World</em> (New York:  W.W. Norton & Company, 2008), pp. .]]>
      
   </content>
</entry>
<entry>
   <title>Tom is on the (internet) radio tonight</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.thomaspmbarnett.com/weblog/2008/05/tom_is_on_the_internet_radio_t.html" />
   <id>tag:www.thomaspmbarnett.com,2008:/weblog//1.6639</id>
   
   <published>2008-05-16T23:25:27Z</published>
   <updated>2008-05-17T12:25:59Z</updated>
   
   <summary>Ok, same drill as yesterday, rescheduled. Specifics: 8:40-9 ET The World Tonight with Rob Breakenridge AM770 CHQR Calgary, AB There&apos;s a listen in live button at the top of the page. I tried it out once and it worked no...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>Sean Meade</name>
      
   </author>
   
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.thomaspmbarnett.com/weblog/">
      <![CDATA[Ok, same drill as yesterday, rescheduled. Specifics:

8:40-9 ET
The World Tonight with Rob Breakenridge
<a href="http://www.am770chqr.com/">AM770 CHQR</a>
Calgary, AB

There's a listen in live button at the top of the page. I tried it out once and it worked no problem, so plan on listening in.]]>
      
   </content>
</entry>
<entry>
   <title>Two nights in a row!</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.thomaspmbarnett.com/weblog/2008/05/two_nights_in_a_row.html" />
   <id>tag:www.thomaspmbarnett.com,2008:/weblog//1.6633</id>
   
   <published>2008-05-16T13:15:52Z</published>
   <updated>2008-05-17T12:25:59Z</updated>
   
   <summary>Picked up at Amtrak BWI station by head of Solipsys and we have fab dinner at great spot Old Ellicott City with his senior staff. Company in wholly-owned Raytheon sub. Then to hotel and 0030 and room &quot;released&apos; again! Eventually...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>Thomas P.M. Barnett</name>
      
   </author>
   
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.thomaspmbarnett.com/weblog/">
      Picked up at Amtrak BWI station by head of Solipsys and we have fab dinner at great spot Old Ellicott City with his senior staff.  Company in wholly-owned Raytheon sub.

Then to hotel and 0030 and room &quot;released&apos; again!

Eventually set up at Baltimore City Harbor with view into Camden Yards.  Get 6 and then up to do long 2-hour mega-brief to staff with 30 Q&amp;A.

Then to BWI for SWA home.

Delayed flights, rooms given away, it&apos;s a weird trip.  But all works out in end with only one meet lost.

Need some sleep, though.
      
   </content>
</entry>
<entry>
   <title>Grain companies will be the vilified oil companies of the future (like they were in the past)</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.thomaspmbarnett.com/weblog/2008/05/grain_companies_will_be_the_vi.html" />
   <id>tag:www.thomaspmbarnett.com,2008:/weblog//1.6637</id>
   
   <published>2008-05-16T12:28:18Z</published>
   <updated>2008-05-17T12:25:59Z</updated>
   
   <summary> ARTICLE: &quot;Grain Companies&apos; Profits Soar As Global Food Crisis Mounts,&quot; by David Kesmodel, Lauren Etter, and Aaron O. Patrick, Wall Street Journal, 30 April 2008, p. A1. ARTICLE: &quot;Farming Critics Fault Industry&apos;s Influence,&quot; by Elizabeth Williamson, Wall Street Journal,...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>Thomas P.M. Barnett</name>
      
   </author>
   
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.thomaspmbarnett.com/weblog/">
      <![CDATA[<blockquote>
ARTICLE:  "Grain Companies' Profits Soar As Global Food Crisis Mounts," by David Kesmodel, Lauren Etter, and Aaron O. Patrick, <i>Wall Street Journal</i>, 30 April 2008, p. A1. 

ARTICLE:  "Farming Critics Fault Industry's Influence," by Elizabeth Williamson, <i>Wall Street Journal</i>, 30 April 2008, p. A4. 

ARTICLE:  "Fat Profits Test Public-Relations Skills," by George Anders, <i>Wall Street Journal</i>, 30 April 2008, p. B1.
</blockquote> 

Just like in the 1970s, big "bad" corporations will be vilified over rising commodity prices. 

Dovetails nicely with sense that, in a generation's time, food networks will be considered more vital and vulnerable and volatile than energy nets. 

It's weird, but I think we move from past reality where energy was always found distant from needs and food grown locally to the exact opposite:  food grown and moved over great distances and energy generated more locally. 

And I think global warming fuels both trends—pun intended.]]>
      
   </content>
</entry>
<entry>
   <title>Zakaria&apos;s &quot;Post-American World&quot; and Kagan &quot;The Return of History&quot;</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.thomaspmbarnett.com/weblog/2008/05/zakarias_postamerican_world_an.html" />
   <id>tag:www.thomaspmbarnett.com,2008:/weblog//1.6636</id>
   
   <published>2008-05-16T12:25:10Z</published>
   <updated>2008-05-17T12:25:59Z</updated>
   
   <summary>Neither really sells the title, but it doesn&apos;t matter with Zakaria&apos;s book, which is utterly without hyperbole and sensibly balances political arguments with enough economics resulting in a lot of calm, reasoned analysis. Kagan, meanwhile, can write such short books...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>Thomas P.M. Barnett</name>
      
   </author>
   
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.thomaspmbarnett.com/weblog/">
      Neither really sells the title, but it doesn&apos;t matter with Zakaria&apos;s book, which is utterly without hyperbole and sensibly balances political arguments with enough economics resulting in a lot of calm, reasoned analysis. 

Kagan, meanwhile, can write such short books (really an essay) because he only covers one side of the equation.  His book is all pol-mil and power and states run everything.  Basically ignored are globalization and financial interdependence and the rise of network trade, etc.  Instead, defense budgets signal far more, and even though there are no great power wars in the offing, Kagan reminds us that they&apos;re &quot;not unthinktable&quot;!  If the last book is subtly repudiated here (turns out we and Europe are alike in our non-autocratic governments), a mere few years after it was written, I don&apos;t think we&apos;ll need to wait so long on this one.  For example, India, supposed logical member of the &quot;axis of democracies,&quot; wants its oil and gas from Iran and tells the U.S. to bug off with its advice (&quot;India Pursues Energy From Iran,&quot; by Peter Wonacott, WSJ, 30 April 2008, p. A8).  Meanwhile, Hu is set to visit Japan in the first visit by a Chinese head of state in a decade, resulting in what the WSJ calls the &quot;clearest sign yet that Asia&apos;s two largest economies are moving beyond political disputes that have overshadowed mushrooming trade and investment&quot; (&quot;Chinese President to Visit Japan,&quot; WSJ wire, 30 April 2008, p. A8.).  And then there&apos;s Ma&apos;s election in Taiwan.  Damn!  Don&apos;t these great powers know they&apos;re supposed to be struggling against each other and us for global domination!  How come they keep making deals instead? 

I will probably compare and contrast the two books in a future column.  They really do oppose each other in world views:  Zakaria sees a world based on economics and Kagan sees one based on politics and ideology.  But at the end of the day both will say that we&apos;re simply heading into a more competitive landscape.  In that sense, Zakaria&apos;s prescriptions come off—as mild as they are—as far more sensible than Kagan&apos;s us-v-them stuff which strikes me as super-imposing conflict where none exists. 

Ah, but that doesn&apos;t make it &quot;unthinkable&quot;!!!!!! 
      
   </content>
</entry>
<entry>
   <title>America&apos;s China challenge (or why I fear McCain)</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.thomaspmbarnett.com/weblog/2008/05/americas_china_challenge_or_wh.html" />
   <id>tag:www.thomaspmbarnett.com,2008:/weblog//1.6635</id>
   
   <published>2008-05-16T12:21:27Z</published>
   <updated>2008-05-17T12:25:59Z</updated>
   
   <summary>ARTICLE: &apos;A Road Map To Modernity: As Congo&apos;s Ambitious Project to Connect Mining Cities and Ports Nears, a Village Offers a Glimpse of the Promise and Peril,&apos; By Stephanie McCrummen, Washington Post, May 2, 2008; Page A01 This I find...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>Thomas P.M. Barnett</name>
      
   </author>
   
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.thomaspmbarnett.com/weblog/">
      <![CDATA[<blockquote>ARTICLE: '<a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/05/01/AR2008050103427.html?wpisrc=newsletter">A Road Map To Modernity</a>: As Congo's Ambitious Project to Connect Mining Cities and Ports Nears, a Village Offers a Glimpse of the Promise and Peril,' By Stephanie McCrummen, <em>Washington Post</em>, May 2, 2008; Page A01</blockquote>

This I find fascinating as a tale.

In my brief I joke that China, the unprincipled SysAdmin, simply says, "Where's your stuff [like mines]?  Really?  Where are your ports?  Can I build a road from your stuff to your ports?"

Well, here's a perfect example.  All sorts of good and bad come with new connectivity, but the real freedom unleashed tends to be economic vice political.

The big question for the Chinese as they set all such things in motion:  How much do we/they themselves/locals hold the Chinese responsible for what ensues?

With Sudan, people will point to the arms transfer, as well they should.  But that's an obvious one and a pretty easy one to address,  but change of the sort cited in this piece is a lot more profound and complex, with no easy answers.

Chinese will say, "Our policy is no interference politically," but of course, when you foster such huge economic change, political repercussions are sure to follow.  Pretending otherwise is disingenuous.

So China will need to discover and enunciate a far more fully-fledged foreign policy as a result.  Shaping this process for the better is arguably the most important thing America does is its foreign policy in coming years.

Or you can simply try to exclude China and lecture and sanction it, which will certainly shape their foreign policy--just maybe not in the direction we're looking for.

Hence my fears of McCain and the resurrection of the neocons.]]>
      
   </content>
</entry>
<entry>
   <title>Pay them now or cost yourself soon</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.thomaspmbarnett.com/weblog/2008/05/pay_them_now_or_cost_yourself.html" />
   <id>tag:www.thomaspmbarnett.com,2008:/weblog//1.6634</id>
   
   <published>2008-05-16T12:19:05Z</published>
   <updated>2008-05-17T12:25:59Z</updated>
   
   <summary> ARTICLE: &quot;Fewer Latin Migrants Send Money Home, Poll Says: Slowing Economy, Legal Crackdown Said to Cut Flows,&quot; by Miriam Jordan, Wall Street Journal, 1 May 2008, p. A4. Most Hispanic population growth in the U.S. is now from births...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>Thomas P.M. Barnett</name>
      
   </author>
   
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.thomaspmbarnett.com/weblog/">
      <![CDATA[<blockquote>
ARTICLE:  "Fewer Latin Migrants Send Money Home, Poll Says:  Slowing Economy, Legal Crackdown Said to Cut Flows," by Miriam Jordan, <i>Wall Street Journal</i>, 1 May 2008, p. A4.
</blockquote>

Most Hispanic population growth in the U.S. is now from births to parents/families already living here, not immigrants.

Of the roughly 20m Latinos adults living in the U.S., half are illegal.  On average, those who remit money end up sending $325 home 15 times a year.  Last year, that yielded a total of $46 billion, which is a lot more than America sends in foreign aid globally.

The danger now?  Slower economy means less money remitted, means more economic distress in Latin America, more more illegals showing up.

Pay them now or rack up the costs later.

Still, stunning to consider the combination of people/money flow.]]>
      
   </content>
</entry>
<entry>
   <title>Tom&apos;s NOT on the (internet) radio tonight [updated]</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.thomaspmbarnett.com/weblog/2008/05/toms_on_the_internet_radio_ton.html" />
   <id>tag:www.thomaspmbarnett.com,2008:/weblog//1.6632</id>
   
   <published>2008-05-15T17:08:15Z</published>
   <updated>2008-05-17T12:25:59Z</updated>
   
   <summary>Update: Belay that. Tom had to cancel. May reschedule for later, in which case I&apos;ll let you know. As you were. Tonight at 9:35 ET Tom&apos;s going to be on: The World Tonight with Rob Breakenridge AM770 CHQR Calgary, AB...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>Sean Meade</name>
      
   </author>
   
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.thomaspmbarnett.com/weblog/">
      <![CDATA[<strong>Update: Belay that. Tom had to cancel. May reschedule for later, in which case I'll let you know. As you were.</strong>

Tonight at 9:35 ET Tom's going to be on:

The World Tonight with Rob Breakenridge
<a href="http://www.am770chqr.com/">AM770 CHQR</a>
Calgary, AB

There's a listen in live button at the top of the page. I tried it out once and it worked no problem, so plan on listening in.]]>
      
   </content>
</entry>
<entry>
   <title>&quot;Great Powers&quot; to be released 2/5/09</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.thomaspmbarnett.com/weblog/2008/05/great_powers_to_be_released_25.html" />
   <id>tag:www.thomaspmbarnett.com,2008:/weblog//1.6627</id>
   
   <published>2008-05-15T13:18:17Z</published>
   <updated>2008-05-17T12:25:59Z</updated>
   
   <summary>Bad juju on flights last night. Delayed out of Vancouver and super-delayed out of Ohare. Landed at Newark at 0230 this morn. When driver dropped me at Ian Schrager&apos;s Hudson hotel at 0330, my room already &quot;released&quot; (Seinfeld: You know...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>Thomas P.M. Barnett</name>
      
   </author>
   
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.thomaspmbarnett.com/weblog/">
      <![CDATA[Bad juju on flights last night.  Delayed out of Vancouver and super-delayed out of Ohare.

Landed at Newark at 0230 this morn.  When driver dropped me at Ian Schrager's Hudson hotel at 0330, my room already "released" (Seinfeld: You know how to <i>take</i> a reservation.  You just don't know how to <i>keep</i> a reservation!).  So I am set up at "sister" Royalton.  I hit the hay at 0500 and sleep til 1000, canceling my meet with senior editor of <i>Good</i> magazine.

Cab to Hearst building and then do 60-min brief to publisher Kevin O'Malley and his marketing staff in Hearst theater.  Mark Warren intros me, which is fun.  About 15 mins of Q&A after.

Mark tells me he has finished his deep read of entire book and is halfway done on big edit.  Chapters start flowing to me early next week.  Still targeting 1 June for delivery to Putnam.

Then driven to Penguin/Putnam for marketing meet with Neil Nyren, editor-in-chief of Putnam and his senior marketing heads, plus old bud Steve Oppenheim (again bearded) and my agent Jenn Gates.

Date for release is now set for 5 February 2009.  I love the date.

We plot strategy.  I give everyone emails for Sean and Jenn Posda.

Jenn Gates and I then cab to Penn Station and hang out a bit to talk before I catch Acela Amtrak to Baltimore for dinner with Raytheon division chief.

Long day that "started" with me cruising Times Square at 4 am in cab and ends with smoothies with Jenn at Penn.  Feel like I saw a lot of NYC.]]>
      
   </content>
</entry>
<entry>
   <title>The fragility of perfection yields the practicality of cooperation</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.thomaspmbarnett.com/weblog/2008/05/the_fragility_of_perfection_yi.html" />
   <id>tag:www.thomaspmbarnett.com,2008:/weblog//1.6631</id>
   
   <published>2008-05-15T12:30:03Z</published>
   <updated>2008-05-17T12:25:59Z</updated>
   
   <summary> COLUMN: “The fragility of perfection: When supply chains go wrong,” by Buttonwood, The Economist, 3 May 2008, p. 82. ARTICLE: “Streams of blood, or streams of peace: Talk of thirsty armies marching to battle is surely overdone, but violence...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>Thomas P.M. Barnett</name>
      
   </author>
   
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.thomaspmbarnett.com/weblog/">
      <![CDATA[<blockquote>
COLUMN:  “<a href="http://www.economist.com/finance/displaystory.cfm?story_id=11294568&fsrc=RSS">The fragility of perfection</a>:  When supply chains go wrong,” by Buttonwood, <i>The Economist</i>, 3 May 2008, p. 82.

ARTICLE:  “<a href="http://www.economist.com/world/international/displaystory.cfm?story_id=11293778">Streams of blood, or streams of peace</a>:  Talk of thirsty armies marching to battle is surely overdone, but violence and drought can easily go together,” <i>The Economist</i>, 3 May 2008, p. 67.
</blockquote>

Specialization depends on supply.  The more specialization, the more the global economy depends on the reliability of supply.  Since globalization integrates trade by disintegrating production and spreading it across the planet, our growing connectivity and efficiency in production makes us all more dependent on each others, and the logistical chains that link us.

Obviously that forces us to make those networks as resilient as possible, so the dominant security agenda of the globalization era is protecting those supply lines.  That’s why I work for Enterra; I consider it a front-line player in global security.  Done right, prosperity reigns.  Done poorly, and yes, people die from all sorts of mishaps and purposeful attacks.

But even if done well, don’t we face all manner of security struggles over scarce resources?

<i>The Economist</i> says the “water wars” scenario remains, as I’ve long noted, completely unsupported by world history:

<blockquote>
Researchers at Oregon state University say they have found evidence to the contrary, showing that the world’s 263 trans-boundary rivers (whose basins cover nearly half the land surface of the world) generate more co-operation than conflict.  Over the past half-century, 400 treaties had been concluded over the use of rivers.  Of the 37 incidents that involved violence, 30 occurred in the dry and bitterly contested region formed by Israel and its neighbors, where the upper end of the Jordan river was hotly disputed, and skirmished over, before Israel took control in the 1967 war.  And some inter-state water treaties are very robust.  The Indus river pact between India and Pakistan survived two wars and the deep crisis of 2002.
</blockquote>

Where the argument holds more water involves regions suffering creeping desertification, but guess what?  That civil strife typically unfolds in remote regions that already suffer limited or failed governments, so yeah, global climate change will bring more SysAdmin work, but hardly great power war.  Wars tend to be fought over more fungible and therefore more theft-prone resources, like minerals and gems.  Water is simply harder to steal and sell, says <i>The Economist</i>.

That’s not to say that water isn’t used by more powerful nations to exercise control over weaker states, but that hardly makes water unique.  Power is power.]]>
      
   </content>
</entry>
<entry>
   <title>Isn&apos;t it weird Bush can&apos;t manage one trial in seven years for 9/11?</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.thomaspmbarnett.com/weblog/2008/05/isnt_it_weird_bush_cant_manage.html" />
   <id>tag:www.thomaspmbarnett.com,2008:/weblog//1.6630</id>
   
   <published>2008-05-15T12:27:47Z</published>
   <updated>2008-05-17T12:25:59Z</updated>
   
   <summary>ARTICLE: Justice System For Detainees Is Moving At a Crawl, By Josh White, Washington Post, May 6, 2008; Page A01 What does that tell you about what a screwed-up system the administration developed?...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>Thomas P.M. Barnett</name>
      
   </author>
   
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.thomaspmbarnett.com/weblog/">
      <![CDATA[<blockquote>ARTICLE: <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/05/05/AR2008050502315.html?wpisrc=newsletter">Justice System For Detainees Is Moving At a Crawl</a>, By Josh White, <em>Washington Post</em>, May 6, 2008; Page A01</blockquote>

What does that tell you about what a screwed-up system the administration developed?]]>
      
   </content>
</entry>
<entry>
   <title>Myanmar: China and India</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.thomaspmbarnett.com/weblog/2008/05/myanmar_china_and_india.html" />
   <id>tag:www.thomaspmbarnett.com,2008:/weblog//1.6629</id>
   
   <published>2008-05-15T12:25:43Z</published>
   <updated>2008-05-17T12:25:59Z</updated>
   
   <summary>ARTICLE: Burma Says Storm Killed 15,000, By Amy Kazmin, Washington Post, May 6, 2008; Page A01 Will be interesting to see how China and India respond to Myanmar&apos;s disaster. India&apos;s private sector stepped up nicely with the Christmas Tsunami and...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>Thomas P.M. Barnett</name>
      
   </author>
   
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.thomaspmbarnett.com/weblog/">
      <![CDATA[<blockquote>ARTICLE: Burma Says Storm Killed 15,000, By Amy Kazmin, <em>Washington Post</em>, May 6, 2008; Page A01</blockquote>

Will be interesting to see how China and India respond to Myanmar's disaster.  India's private sector stepped up nicely with the Christmas Tsunami and clearly the PRC feels some political responsibility for the junta, given the close ties.

Something to watch.  Events like these only come around every few years, so it's important we draw powers out commensurately with their "rise."]]>
      
   </content>
</entry>
<entry>
   <title>Upgrade USAID</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.thomaspmbarnett.com/weblog/2008/05/upgrade_usaid.html" />
   <id>tag:www.thomaspmbarnett.com,2008:/weblog//1.6628</id>
   
   <published>2008-05-15T12:22:29Z</published>
   <updated>2008-05-17T12:25:59Z</updated>
   
   <summary> OPINION: Africa Does Not Have to Starve, By NORMAN BORLAUG and ANDREW NATSIOS, May 2, 2008; Page A13 Good, logical attempt by the Bush Administration to make USAID more intelligently responsive to local suffering. No sense in destroying local...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>Thomas P.M. Barnett</name>
      
   </author>
   
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.thomaspmbarnett.com/weblog/">
      <![CDATA[<blockquote> OPINION: <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB120968518398861073.html">Africa Does Not Have to Starve</a>, By NORMAN BORLAUG and ANDREW NATSIOS, May 2, 2008; Page A13</blockquote>

Good, logical attempt by the Bush Administration to make USAID more intelligently responsive to local suffering.  No sense in destroying local capacity during this crisis.

(Thanks: Galrahn)]]>
      
   </content>
</entry>

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